CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · game 6 of 8
Australia vs England 3rd T20I prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Thu, 26 Nov 2026
- Venue
- The Gabba, Brisbane
- Format
- T20 International · flat, run-heavy pitch
The case
Who wins AUS vs ENG, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
Australia
- Rated 70% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.43.
- A projected 13-run cushion in the first-innings total (224 to 211).
- Home conditions: Australia know a flat, run-heavy surface like this better than anyone.
- Glenn Maxwell, their likeliest match-winner (useful with bat and ball).
How they could upset it
England
- 30% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
- Liam Livingstone can win a game single-handed (useful with bat and ball).
By the numbers
How many runs will Australia and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at The Gabba.
- Australia rated 70%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.43 or longer.
- A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
- Australia have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- Australia
- Format
- T20 International
- Pitch
- flat, run-heavy
- Suits
- Batters
- Powerplay (0-6)
- AUS58-68ENG55-63
- Middle Overs (7-15)
- AUS80-92ENG78-88
- Death Overs (16-20)
- AUS68-82ENG62-76
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
Firm, true and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. An under-par total will not hold up on this surface. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.
Edge: Even
Series pressure
A win puts Australia in charge with 2 games to go. A defeat hands England the momentum.
Edge: Australia
Batting edge
The projection hands Australia a 13-run cushion, the single biggest reason the model sides with them.
Edge: Australia
How to play it
How should you back or lay AUS vs ENG on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back70% chance
Australia1.43
Accept 1.43 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.43 pays ₹143 including your stake.
Lay30% chance
England3.33
Lay only at 3.33 or shorter. At 3.33, a ₹100 lay puts ₹233 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back Australia
70% chance1.43
Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.43, the value is gone.
ValueBalanced
Australia first-innings total
Over 212.5
58% chance1.72
We project about 224, comfortably clear of 212.5, so a slow start can still land it.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Marnus Labuschagne (Australia)
22% chance4.55
Best finisher in the side. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
Australia
Glenn Maxwell92
Useful with bat and ball
Marnus Labuschagne94
Best finisher in the side
England
Liam Livingstone94
Useful with bat and ball
Chris Woakes87
Opens the bowling
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Glenn Maxwell misses out
Australia would drop by about five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain cuts the overs
A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.
The long read
Australia vs England match preview
With 2 games of England tour of Australia, 2026 still to play, match 6 can tilt the series. Australia rate 70% because both their batting and their attack fit these flat, run-heavy conditions a little better. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 30% for them look too low.
On the toss: Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.
“A strong start would make our 30% for them look too low.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 3rd T20I
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 3rd T20I is staged at The Gabba in Brisbane on Thu, 26 Nov 2026, game 6 of 8 in the series.
The 2nd T20I comes 3 days before this game at Carrara Oval in Queensland, so the squads travel to Brisbane in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.
Next on the calendar: the 4th T20I, 3 days after this game at Sydney Cricket Ground in Sydney.
- 23 Nov2nd T20I: Australia vs EnglandCarrara Oval
- 26 Nov · this match3rd T20I: Australia vs EnglandThe Gabba
- 29 Nov4th T20I: Australia vs EnglandSydney Cricket Ground
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
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FAQ · 10
AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the Australia vs England 3rd T20I?
King Exchange expects Australia to win, rating them 70% against 30% for England, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at The Gabba should play.
What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
A 70% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.43 for Australia and 3.33 for England. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I start in India?
The series window places it on Thu, 26 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at The Gabba, Brisbane, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for The Gabba in the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. Firm, true and quick, with short boundaries and a rapid outfield. An under-par total will not hold up on this surface.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can England win the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives England a 30% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or Australia change their best XI.
Why could England upset Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I?
30% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Liam Livingstone can win a game single-handed (useful with bat and ball).
How should I trade the Australia vs England 3rd T20I on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back Australia at 1.43 or longer, or lay England at 3.33 or shorter. A lay wins whenever England fail to win; at 3.33, a ₹100 lay carries ₹233 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Australia vs England 3rd T20I match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 70%, jabki England ka 30%. Match Thu, 26 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
AUS vs ENG 3rd T20I ke liye Brisbane ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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