CricketZimbabwe tour of India, 2027 · game 3 of 3
India vs Zimbabwe 3rd ODI prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Sat, 09 Jan 2027
- Venue
- Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs · flat, run-heavy pitch
The case
Who wins IND vs ZIM, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
India
- Rated 74% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.35.
- A projected 56-run cushion in the first-innings total (357 to 301).
- Home conditions: India know a flat, run-heavy surface like this better than anyone.
- Shreyas Iyer, their likeliest match-winner (steady hand in a chase).
How they could upset it
Zimbabwe
- 26% to win, which is roughly one game in 4.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
- Ryan Burl can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
By the numbers
How many runs will India and Zimbabwe score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Wankhede Stadium.
- India rated 74%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.35 or longer.
- A pitch that suits batters, with India projected to post the higher total.
- India have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, run-heavy
- Suits
- Batters
- Powerplay (0-10)
- IND61-73ZIM45-57
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- IND178-196ZIM158-178
- Death Overs (41-50)
- IND95-111ZIM73-91
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
Batters can trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need sharp plans, because anything overpitched or wide is going to the boundary. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.
Edge: Even
Series pressure
It is the final game, so India cannot coast and Zimbabwe have nothing left to protect.
Edge: India
Toss call
The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands.
Edge: Even
How to play it
How should you back or lay IND vs ZIM on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back74% chance
India1.35
Accept 1.35 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.35 pays ₹135 including your stake.
Lay26% chance
Zimbabwe3.85
Lay only at 3.85 or shorter. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay puts ₹285 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back India
74% chance1.35
Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.35, the value is gone.
ValueBalanced
India first-innings total
Over 342.5
56% chance1.79
We project about 357, comfortably clear of 342.5, so a slow start can still land it.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Shreyas Iyer (India)
22% chance4.55
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Zimbabwe?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
India
Shreyas Iyer88
Steady hand in a chase
Mohammed Siraj83
Trusted at the end of the innings
Zimbabwe
Ryan Burl90
Balances the XI
Tadiwanashe Marumani91
Fast starter at the top
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Shreyas Iyer misses out
India would drop by about five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain cuts the overs
A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.
The long read
India vs Zimbabwe match preview
This is the last match of Zimbabwe tour of India, 2027, so neither team has a reason to hold back. The King Exchange model leans to India at 74%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Wankhede Stadium has behaved in recent seasons. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 26%, Zimbabwe are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.
On the toss: The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands.
“At 26%, Zimbabwe are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 3rd ODI
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Zimbabwe tour of India, 2027.
The 3rd ODI is staged at Wankhede Stadium in Mumbai on Sat, 09 Jan 2027, game 3 of 3 in the series.
The 2nd ODI comes 3 days before this game at Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium in Hyderabad, so the squads travel to Mumbai in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.
Nothing follows in this series, so both teams should name their strongest available XI.
- 06 Jan2nd ODI: India vs ZimbabweRajiv Gandhi International Stadium
- 09 Jan · this match3rd ODI: India vs ZimbabweWankhede Stadium
Keep reading
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FAQ · 10
IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the India vs Zimbabwe 3rd ODI?
King Exchange expects India to win, rating them 74% against 26% for Zimbabwe, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at Wankhede Stadium should play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?
A 74% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.35 for India and 3.85 for Zimbabwe. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI start in India?
The series window places it on Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Wankhede Stadium in the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?
We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. Batters can trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need sharp plans, because anything overpitched or wide is going to the boundary.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?
The toss hardly matters. Both teams will plan for a big score whichever way the coin lands. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can Zimbabwe win the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives Zimbabwe a 26% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.
Why could Zimbabwe upset India in the IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI?
26% to win, which is roughly one game in 4. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Ryan Burl can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
How should I trade the India vs Zimbabwe 3rd ODI on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back India at 1.35 or longer, or lay Zimbabwe at 3.85 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Zimbabwe fail to win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay carries ₹285 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Zimbabwe 3rd ODI match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 74%, jabki Zimbabwe ka 26%. Match Sat, 09 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
IND vs ZIM 3rd ODI ke liye Mumbai ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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