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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Fulham Prediction, score and odds

67%Everton · fair 1.4920%Draw · fair 5.0013%Fulham · fair 7.69
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 05 Dec 2026
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Everton vs Fulham, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Everton

  • 67% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.49.
  • 2.11 expected goals to 0.80: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Hill Dickinson Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Fulham

  • 13% to win plus 20% for the draw: 33% that Everton do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Everton to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Fulham?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Everton 67%, draw 20%, Fulham 13%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with goals expected (2.9 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 49% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
49%
Expected goals
2.11 – 0.80
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Everton are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Everton

  2. Expected goals

    2.9 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 55% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Everton rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Everton

How to play it

How should you back or lay Everton vs Fulham on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back67% chance

Everton1.49

Accept 1.49 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.49 pays ₹149 including your stake.

Lay13% chance

Fulham7.69

Lay only at 7.69 or shorter. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay puts ₹669 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Everton

    84% chance1.19

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    55% chance1.82

    2.9 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 2-1 Fulham

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Fulham

Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Everton field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Fulham score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Everton vs Fulham match preview

Everton welcome Fulham in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Everton. The expected-goals split (2.11 for Everton, 0.80 for Fulham) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 67% for Everton. Fulham's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Fulham's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Everton and Fulham

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 3 days after their match away at Villa on 02 Dec, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are away at Brighton 7 days after this game. Premier League game 14 of 38.

Fulham play 3 days after their match away at Spurs on 02 Dec, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are at home to Brentford 7 days after this game. Premier League game 14 of 38.

They meet again at Craven Cottage on Sat, 01 May 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 02 DecVilla vs EvertonVilla Park
  2. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 05 Dec · this matchEverton vs FulhamHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 12 DecBrighton vs EvertonAmerican Express Stadium
  5. 12 DecFulham vs BrentfordCraven Cottage

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Everton and Fulham

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FAQ · 10

Everton vs Fulham FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Fulham?

King Exchange expects Everton to win. The goals model rates Everton 67%, the draw 20% and Fulham 13%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Fulham?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Fulham?

By our numbers: Everton 1.49, draw 5.00, Fulham 7.69. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Everton vs Fulham kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 05 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Fulham upset Everton in Everton vs Fulham?

13% to win plus 20% for the draw: 33% that Everton do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Everton to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Fulham on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Everton at 1.49 or longer, or lay Fulham at 7.69 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Fulham fail to win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay carries ₹669 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Fulham match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 67%, draw 20%, Fulham 13%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Everton vs Fulham?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

How many goals are expected in Everton vs Fulham?

2.9 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 6% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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