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FootballPremier League · London derby

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham Prediction, score and odds

72%Tottenham Hotspur · fair 1.3919%Draw · fair 5.269%Fulham · fair 11.11
Kick-off
01:30 IST, next day · 20:00 UK
Date
Wed, 02 Dec 2026
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Spurs vs Fulham, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Tottenham Hotspur

  • 72% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.39.
  • 2.08 expected goals to 0.57: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Fulham

  • 9% to win plus 19% for the draw: 28% that Spurs do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Fulham?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Spurs 72%, draw 19%, Fulham 9%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.6 xG).
  • It is the London derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
38%
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.57
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Spurs are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Spurs

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (49% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Derby intensity

    The London derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Spurs vs Fulham on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back72% chance

Tottenham Hotspur1.39

Accept 1.39 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.39 pays ₹139 including your stake.

Lay9% chance

Fulham11.11

Lay only at 11.11 or shorter. At 11.11, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1011 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Spurs

    89% chance1.12

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    73% chance1.37

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Spurs 3-0 Fulham

    11% chance9.09

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium by controlling the middle of the pitch.

Away

Fulham

Fulham are likely to sit in a compact shape on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Spurs field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Fulham score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Spurs vs Fulham match preview

Fulham travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a strong lean. As the London derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. We project 2.08 xG for Spurs and 0.57 for Fulham. Over thousands of simulated games, Spurs come out on top in 72% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Fulham. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Spurs and Fulham

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Spurs play 3 days after their match away at Sunderland on 29 Nov, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are at home to Arsenal 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 13 of 38.

Fulham play 3 days after their match at home to Bournemouth on 29 Nov, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are away at Everton 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 13 of 38.

They meet again at Craven Cottage on Wed, 06 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 29 NovSunderland vs SpursStadium of Light
  2. 29 NovFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  3. 02 Dec · this matchSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 05 DecEverton vs FulhamHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Spurs and Fulham

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FAQ · 10

Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Spurs vs Fulham?

King Exchange expects Tottenham Hotspur to win. The goals model rates Spurs 72%, the draw 19% and Fulham 9%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Fulham?

By our numbers: Spurs 1.39, draw 5.26, Fulham 11.11. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day in India (UK date Wed, 02 Dec 2026, 20:00 UK time), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Fulham upset Spurs in Spurs vs Fulham?

9% to win plus 19% for the draw: 28% that Spurs do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Spurs vs Fulham on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.39 or longer, or lay Fulham at 11.11 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Fulham fail to win; at 11.11, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1011 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Fulham match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Spurs 72%, draw 19%, Fulham 9%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Spurs vs Fulham?

We rate both teams to score at 38%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 49%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Fulham cause an upset in Spurs vs Fulham?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Spurs's attack. King Exchange gives Fulham a 9% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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