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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, score and odds

17%Hull City · fair 5.8822%Draw · fair 4.5561%Tottenham Hotspur · fair 1.64
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 12 Dec 2026
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Hull vs Spurs, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Tottenham Hotspur

  • 61% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.64.
  • 2.09 expected goals to 1.01: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to MKM Stadium.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 17% to win plus 22% for the draw: 39% that Spurs do not win.
  • The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Spurs?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Spurs 61%, draw 22%, Hull 17%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
56%
Expected goals
1.01 – 2.09
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. It closes the gap but does not erase Spurs's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 59% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Spurs rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Spurs

How to play it

How should you back or lay Hull vs Spurs on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back61% chance

Tottenham Hotspur1.64

Accept 1.64 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.64 pays ₹164 including your stake.

Lay17% chance

Hull City5.88

Lay only at 5.88 or shorter. At 5.88, a ₹100 lay puts ₹488 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Spurs

    78% chance1.28

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    56% chance1.79

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Hull 1-2 Spurs

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block at MKM Stadium, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at MKM Stadium by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Spurs field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Hull vs Spurs match preview

Tottenham Hotspur travel to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a clear lean. We project 1.01 xG for Hull and 2.09 for Spurs. Over thousands of simulated games, Spurs come out on top in 61% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Hull and Spurs

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Hull play 7 days after their match away at Bournemouth on 05 Dec. Next they are away at Man City 7 days after this game. Premier League game 15 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their match at home to Arsenal on 05 Dec. Next they are away at Liverpool 7 days after this game. Premier League game 15 of 38.

They meet again at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 24 Apr 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 05 DecBournemouth vs HullVitality Stadium
  2. 05 DecSpurs vs ArsenalTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 12 Dec · this matchHull vs SpursMKM Stadium
  4. 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
  5. 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Hull and Spurs

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FAQ · 10

Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Spurs?

King Exchange expects Tottenham Hotspur to win. The goals model rates Hull 17%, the draw 22% and Spurs 61%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Spurs?

By our numbers: Hull 5.88, draw 4.55, Spurs 1.64. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Hull City vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 12 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK time), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Spurs in Hull vs Spurs?

17% to win plus 22% for the draw: 39% that Spurs do not win. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Hull vs Spurs on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Tottenham Hotspur at 1.64 or longer, or lay Hull City at 5.88 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 5.88, a ₹100 lay carries ₹488 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Tottenham Hotspur aage hain: Hull 17%, draw 22%, Spurs 61%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Spurs?

3.1 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 3, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Hull cause an upset in Hull vs Spurs?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Spurs's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 17% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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