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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

8%Hull City · fair 12.5014%Draw · fair 7.1478%Liverpool · fair 1.28
Kick-off
23:00 IST · 17:30 UK
Date
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Hull vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 78% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.28.
  • 2.90 expected goals to 0.86: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to MKM Stadium.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 8% to win plus 14% for the draw: 22% that Liverpool do not win.
  • The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Liverpool?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 78%, draw 14%, Hull 8%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-3, with goals expected (3.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-3
Half-time
0-1
Both score
54%
Expected goals
0.86 – 2.90
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    3.8 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 72% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 14%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Liverpool

How to play it

How should you back or lay Hull vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back78% chance

Liverpool1.28

Accept 1.28 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.28 pays ₹128 including your stake.

Lay8% chance

Hull City12.50

Lay only at 12.50 or shorter. At 12.50, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1150 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    91% chance1.10

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    72% chance1.39

    3.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Hull 1-3 Liverpool

    8% chance12.50

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block at MKM Stadium, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at MKM Stadium and keep Hull penned in for long stretches.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Hull vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool travel to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a strong lean. We project 0.86 xG for Hull and 2.90 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 78% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Hull and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Hull play 7 days after their match away at Man City on 19 Dec. Next they are at home to Leeds 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 17 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Spurs on 19 Dec. Next they are away at Villa 4 days after this game. Premier League game 17 of 38.

They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 19 DecMan City vs HullEtihad Stadium
  2. 19 DecLiverpool vs SpursAnfield
  3. 26 Dec · this matchHull vs LiverpoolMKM Stadium
  4. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  5. 30 DecVilla vs LiverpoolVilla Park

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Hull and Liverpool

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FAQ · 10

Hull City vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Liverpool?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Hull 8%, the draw 14% and Liverpool 78%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 1-3, with 0-1 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Hull 12.50, draw 7.14, Liverpool 1.28. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Hull City vs Liverpool kick off in India?

23:00 IST in India (UK date Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 17:30 UK time), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Liverpool in Hull vs Liverpool?

8% to win plus 14% for the draw: 22% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Hull vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 1.28 or longer, or lay Hull City at 12.50 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 12.50, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1150 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Hull 8%, draw 14%, Liverpool 78%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-3 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Liverpool?

3.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 3% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Will both teams score in Hull vs Liverpool?

We rate both teams to score at 54%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 72%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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