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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Sunderland vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

74%Sunderland · fair 1.3517%Draw · fair 5.889%Hull City · fair 11.11
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 02 Jan 2027
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Sunderland vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Sunderland

  • 74% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.35.
  • 2.33 expected goals to 0.68: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Stadium of Light, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 9% to win plus 17% for the draw: 26% that Sunderland do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Hull?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Sunderland 74%, draw 17%, Hull 9%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with goals expected (3.0 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 44% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
44%
Expected goals
2.33 – 0.68
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Sunderland are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Sunderland

  2. Expected goals

    3.0 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 57% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Sunderland rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 17%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Sunderland

How to play it

How should you back or lay Sunderland vs Hull on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back74% chance

Sunderland1.35

Accept 1.35 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.35 pays ₹135 including your stake.

Lay9% chance

Hull City11.11

Lay only at 11.11 or shorter. At 11.11, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1011 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Sunderland

    89% chance1.12

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    57% chance1.75

    3.0 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Sunderland 3-0 Hull

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Stadium of Light, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block on the road at Stadium of Light, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Sunderland field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Sunderland vs Hull match preview

Hull City travel to Stadium of Light for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a strong lean. We project 2.33 xG for Sunderland and 0.68 for Hull. Over thousands of simulated games, Sunderland come out on top in 74% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Sunderland and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Sunderland play 3 days after their match away at Man Utd on 30 Dec, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are at home to Liverpool 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 19 of 38.

Hull play 4 days after their match at home to Leeds on 29 Dec. Next they are away at Forest 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 19 of 38.

They meet again at MKM Stadium on Wed, 10 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 29 DecHull vs LeedsMKM Stadium
  2. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford
  3. 02 Jan · this matchSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
  4. 05 JanForest vs HullCity Ground
  5. 05 JanSunderland vs LiverpoolStadium of Light

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Sunderland and Hull

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FAQ · 10

Sunderland vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Sunderland vs Hull?

King Exchange expects Sunderland to win. The goals model rates Sunderland 74%, the draw 17% and Hull 9%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Sunderland vs Hull?

By our numbers: Sunderland 1.35, draw 5.88, Hull 11.11. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Sunderland vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 02 Jan 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Stadium of Light in Sunderland. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Sunderland in Sunderland vs Hull?

9% to win plus 17% for the draw: 26% that Sunderland do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Sunderland vs Hull on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Sunderland at 1.35 or longer, or lay Hull City at 11.11 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 11.11, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1011 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Sunderland vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Sunderland 74%, draw 17%, Hull 9%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Hull cause an upset in Sunderland vs Hull?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Sunderland's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 9% chance.

Where can I watch Sunderland vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull?

We rate both teams to score at 44%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 57%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

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