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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

67%Nottingham Forest · fair 1.4920%Draw · fair 5.0013%Hull City · fair 7.69
Kick-off
01:00 IST, next day · 19:30 UK
Date
Tue, 05 Jan 2027
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Forest vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Nottingham Forest

  • 67% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.49.
  • 2.22 expected goals to 0.85: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at City Ground, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 13% to win plus 20% for the draw: 33% that Forest do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Hull?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Forest 67%, draw 20%, Hull 13%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
51%
Expected goals
2.22 – 0.85
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Forest are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Forest

  2. Expected goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 59% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Forest rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 20%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Forest

How to play it

How should you back or lay Forest vs Hull on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back67% chance

Nottingham Forest1.49

Accept 1.49 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.49 pays ₹149 including your stake.

Lay13% chance

Hull City7.69

Lay only at 7.69 or shorter. At 7.69, a ₹100 lay puts ₹669 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Forest

    84% chance1.19

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    59% chance1.69

    3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Forest 2-1 Hull

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Nottingham Forest

Forest are likely to sit in a compact shape at City Ground and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Fresh up from the Championship, Hull will prioritise staying solid on the road at City Ground. Their best openings usually come from corners, free kicks and fast counters.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Forest field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Forest vs Hull match preview

Nottingham Forest welcome Hull City in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Forest. The expected-goals split (2.22 for Forest, 0.85 for Hull) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 67% for Forest. Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Forest and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Forest play 3 days after their match at home to Fulham on 02 Jan, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are away at Man City 11 days after this game. Premier League game 20 of 38.

Hull play 3 days after their match away at Sunderland on 02 Jan, so fatigue could tell in the closing stages. Next they are at home to Arsenal 11 days after this game. Premier League game 20 of 38.

The two clubs already met at MKM Stadium on Wed, 02 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 02 JanForest vs FulhamCity Ground
  2. 02 JanSunderland vs HullStadium of Light
  3. 05 Jan · this matchForest vs HullCity Ground
  4. 16 JanMan City vs ForestEtihad Stadium
  5. 16 JanHull vs ArsenalMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Forest and Hull

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FAQ · 10

Nottingham Forest vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Hull?

King Exchange expects Nottingham Forest to win. The goals model rates Forest 67%, the draw 20% and Hull 13%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Hull?

By our numbers: Forest 1.49, draw 5.00, Hull 7.69. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Hull City kick off in India?

01:00 IST, next day in India (UK date Tue, 05 Jan 2027, 19:30 UK time), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Forest in Forest vs Hull?

13% to win plus 20% for the draw: 33% that Forest do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Forest vs Hull on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Nottingham Forest at 1.49 or longer, or lay Hull City at 7.69 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 7.69, a ₹100 lay carries ₹669 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Nottingham Forest aage hain: Forest 67%, draw 20%, Hull 13%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Hull?

3.1 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 5% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Where can I watch Forest vs Hull?

UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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