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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Ipswich Town vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

58%Ipswich Town · fair 1.7224%Draw · fair 4.1718%Hull City · fair 5.56
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 23 Jan 2027
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Ipswich vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Ipswich Town

  • 58% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.72.
  • 1.85 expected goals to 0.93: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Portman Road, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 18% to win plus 24% for the draw: 42% that Ipswich do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Hull?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Ipswich 58%, draw 24%, Hull 18%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
51%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.93
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Ipswich are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Ipswich

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (52% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Ipswich rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 24%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Ipswich

How to play it

How should you back or lay Ipswich vs Hull on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back58% chance

Ipswich Town1.72

Accept 1.72 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.72 pays ₹172 including your stake.

Lay18% chance

Hull City5.56

Lay only at 5.56 or shorter. At 5.56, a ₹100 lay puts ₹456 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Ipswich

    76% chance1.32

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    52% chance1.92

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Ipswich 2-1 Hull

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Ipswich Town

Fresh up from the Championship, Ipswich will prioritise staying solid at Portman Road. Their best openings usually come from corners, free kicks and fast counters.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block on the road at Portman Road, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Ipswich field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Ipswich vs Hull match preview

Hull City travel to Portman Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a clear lean. We project 1.85 xG for Ipswich and 0.93 for Hull. Over thousands of simulated games, Ipswich come out on top in 58% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Ipswich and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Ipswich play 7 days after their match away at Bournemouth on 16 Jan. Next they are away at Villa 7 days after this game. Premier League game 22 of 38.

Hull play 7 days after their match at home to Arsenal on 16 Jan. Next they are at home to Palace 7 days after this game. Premier League game 22 of 38.

The two clubs already met at MKM Stadium on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanBournemouth vs IpswichVitality Stadium
  2. 16 JanHull vs ArsenalMKM Stadium
  3. 23 Jan · this matchIpswich vs HullPortman Road
  4. 30 JanVilla vs IpswichVilla Park
  5. 30 JanHull vs PalaceMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Ipswich and Hull

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FAQ · 10

Ipswich Town vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Ipswich vs Hull?

King Exchange expects Ipswich Town to win. The goals model rates Ipswich 58%, the draw 24% and Hull 18%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Ipswich vs Hull?

By our numbers: Ipswich 1.72, draw 4.17, Hull 5.56. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Ipswich Town vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Portman Road in Ipswich. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Ipswich in Ipswich vs Hull?

18% to win plus 24% for the draw: 42% that Ipswich do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Ipswich vs Hull on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Ipswich Town at 1.72 or longer, or lay Hull City at 5.56 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 5.56, a ₹100 lay carries ₹456 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Ipswich vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Ipswich Town aage hain: Ipswich 58%, draw 24%, Hull 18%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Hull cause an upset in Ipswich vs Hull?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Ipswich's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 18% chance.

How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Hull?

2.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Where can I watch Ipswich vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

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