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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Sunderland Prediction, score and odds

26%Hull City · fair 3.8526%Draw · fair 3.8548%Sunderland · fair 2.08
Kick-off
01:30 IST, next day · 20:00 UK
Date
Wed, 10 Feb 2027
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Hull vs Sunderland, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Sunderland

  • 48% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.08.
  • 1.62 expected goals to 1.15: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to MKM Stadium.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 26% to win plus 26% for the draw: 52% that Sunderland do not win.
  • The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Sunderland?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Sunderland 48%, draw 26%, Hull 26%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
55%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.62
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. It closes the gap but does not erase Sunderland's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (52% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Sunderland rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Sunderland

How to play it

How should you back or lay Hull vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back48% chance

Sunderland2.08

Accept 2.08 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.08 pays ₹208 including your stake.

Lay26% chance

Hull City3.85

Lay only at 3.85 or shorter. At 3.85, a ₹100 lay puts ₹285 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Sunderland

    64% chance1.56

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    55% chance1.82

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Hull 1-2 Sunderland

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block at MKM Stadium, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at MKM Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Sunderland field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Hull vs Sunderland match preview

Sunderland travel to MKM Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a coin flip. We project 1.15 xG for Hull and 1.62 for Sunderland. Over thousands of simulated games, Sunderland come out on top in 48% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Hull and Sunderland

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Hull play 4 days after their match away at Brighton on 06 Feb. Next they are away at Liverpool 10 days after this game. Premier League game 25 of 38.

Sunderland play 4 days after their match at home to Villa on 06 Feb. Next they are at home to Everton 10 days after this game. Premier League game 25 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 02 Jan 2027, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 06 FebBrighton vs HullAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 06 FebSunderland vs VillaStadium of Light
  3. 10 Feb · this matchHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  4. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  5. 20 FebSunderland vs EvertonStadium of Light

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Hull and Sunderland

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FAQ · 10

Hull City vs Sunderland FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Sunderland?

King Exchange expects Sunderland to win. The goals model rates Hull 26%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 48%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Sunderland?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Sunderland?

By our numbers: Hull 3.85, draw 3.85, Sunderland 2.08. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Hull City vs Sunderland kick off in India?

01:30 IST, next day in India (UK date Wed, 10 Feb 2027, 20:00 UK time), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Sunderland in Hull vs Sunderland?

26% to win plus 26% for the draw: 52% that Sunderland do not win. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Hull vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Sunderland at 2.08 or longer, or lay Hull City at 3.85 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 3.85, a ₹100 lay carries ₹285 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Sunderland aage hain: Hull 26%, draw 26%, Sunderland 48%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Hull cause an upset in Hull vs Sunderland?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Sunderland's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 26% chance.

Where can I watch Hull vs Sunderland?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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