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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

91%Liverpool · fair 1.107%Draw · fair 14.292%Hull City · fair 50.00
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 20 Feb 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Liverpool vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 91% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.10.
  • 3.40 expected goals to 0.37: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 2% to win plus 7% for the draw: 9% that Liverpool do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Hull?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 91%, draw 7%, Hull 2%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 4-0, with goals expected (3.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 30% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
4-0
Half-time
1-0
Both score
30%
Expected goals
3.40 – 0.37
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Liverpool

  2. Expected goals

    3.8 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 72% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 7%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Liverpool

How to play it

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Hull on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back91% chance

Liverpool1.10

Accept 1.10 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.10 pays ₹110 including your stake.

Lay2% chance

Hull City50.00

Lay only at 50.00 or shorter. At 50.00, a ₹100 lay puts ₹4900 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    98% chance1.02

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    72% chance1.39

    3.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 4-0 Hull

    13% chance7.69

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession at Anfield and keep Hull penned in for long stretches.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Hull are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block on the road at Anfield, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Liverpool vs Hull match preview

Hull City travel to Anfield for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a strong lean. We project 3.40 xG for Liverpool and 0.37 for Hull. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 91% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Hull. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 10 days after their match away at Coventry on 10 Feb. Next they are away at Spurs 7 days after this game. Premier League game 26 of 38.

Hull play 10 days after their match at home to Sunderland on 10 Feb. Next they are at home to Man City 7 days after this game. Premier League game 26 of 38.

The two clubs already met at MKM Stadium on Sat, 26 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 10 FebCoventry vs LiverpoolCoventry Building Society Arena
  2. 10 FebHull vs SunderlandMKM Stadium
  3. 20 Feb · this matchLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  4. 27 FebSpurs vs LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 27 FebHull vs Man CityMKM Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Liverpool and Hull

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FAQ · 10

Liverpool vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Hull?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 91%, the draw 7% and Hull 2%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 4-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 3-0, at 15%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Hull?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.10, draw 14.29, Hull 50.00. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Liverpool vs Hull City kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 20 Feb 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Hull?

2% to win plus 7% for the draw: 9% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Hull on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 1.10 or longer, or lay Hull City at 50.00 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 50.00, a ₹100 lay carries ₹4900 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 91%, draw 7%, Hull 2%. Sabse sambhavit score 4-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Hull?

We rate both teams to score at 30%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 72%.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Hull?

3.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 3% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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