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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

29%Tottenham Hotspur · fair 3.4527%Draw · fair 3.7044%Liverpool · fair 2.27
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 27 Feb 2027
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Spurs vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 44% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.27.
  • 1.55 expected goals to 1.22: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Tottenham Hotspur

  • 29% to win plus 27% for the draw: 56% that Liverpool do not win.
  • The home crowd at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is behind them.
  • An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Spurs vs Liverpool?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 44%, draw 27%, Spurs 29%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
55%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.55
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Spurs. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (52% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Draw risk

    A 27% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Spurs vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back44% chance

Liverpool2.27

Accept 2.27 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.27 pays ₹227 including your stake.

Lay29% chance

Tottenham Hotspur3.45

Lay only at 3.45 or shorter. At 3.45, a ₹100 lay puts ₹245 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    71% chance1.41

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Spurs win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    55% chance1.82

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Spurs 1-2 Liverpool

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, so Spurs will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Spurs score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Spurs vs Liverpool match preview

Tottenham Hotspur welcome Liverpool in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (1.22 for Spurs, 1.55 for Liverpool) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 44% for Liverpool. Spurs's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Spurs's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Spurs and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Spurs play 7 days after their match away at Brighton on 20 Feb. Next they are away at Bournemouth 4 days after this game. Premier League game 27 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Hull on 20 Feb. Next they are at home to Villa 4 days after this game. Premier League game 27 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Anfield on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 20 FebBrighton vs SpursAmerican Express Stadium
  2. 20 FebLiverpool vs HullAnfield
  3. 27 Feb · this matchSpurs vs LiverpoolTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  4. 03 MarBournemouth vs SpursVitality Stadium
  5. 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfield

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Spurs and Liverpool

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FAQ · 10

Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Spurs vs Liverpool?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Spurs 29%, the draw 27% and Liverpool 44%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Spurs vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Spurs 3.45, draw 3.70, Liverpool 2.27. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 27 Feb 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Spurs upset Liverpool in Spurs vs Liverpool?

29% to win plus 27% for the draw: 56% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is behind them. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Spurs vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 2.27 or longer, or lay Tottenham Hotspur at 3.45 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Tottenham Hotspur fail to win; at 3.45, a ₹100 lay carries ₹245 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Spurs vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Spurs 29%, draw 27%, Liverpool 44%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Spurs cause an upset in Spurs vs Liverpool?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. King Exchange gives Spurs a 29% chance.

How many goals are expected in Spurs vs Liverpool?

2.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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