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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Ipswich Town Prediction, score and odds

88%Liverpool · fair 1.149%Draw · fair 11.113%Ipswich Town · fair 33.33
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 13 Mar 2027
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Liverpool vs Ipswich, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 88% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.14.
  • 3.28 expected goals to 0.52: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Ipswich Town

  • 3% to win plus 9% for the draw: 12% that Liverpool do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Ipswich?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 88%, draw 9%, Ipswich 3%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 4-0, with goals expected (3.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 39% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
4-0
Half-time
1-0
Both score
39%
Expected goals
3.28 – 0.52
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Liverpool

  2. Expected goals

    3.8 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 72% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 9%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Liverpool

How to play it

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Ipswich on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back88% chance

Liverpool1.14

Accept 1.14 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.14 pays ₹114 including your stake.

Lay3% chance

Ipswich Town33.33

Lay only at 33.33 or shorter. At 33.33, a ₹100 lay puts ₹3233 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    97% chance1.03

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Ipswich win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    72% chance1.39

    3.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 4-0 Ipswich

    11% chance9.09

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Ipswich will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away · promoted

Ipswich Town

Ipswich are newly promoted and still getting used to the speed of the top flight. Look for a deep, compact block on the road at Anfield, long periods without the ball and most of their danger from set pieces.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Ipswich score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Liverpool vs Ipswich match preview

Liverpool welcome Ipswich Town in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (3.28 for Liverpool, 0.52 for Ipswich) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 88% for Liverpool. Ipswich's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Ipswich's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Ipswich

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 10 days after their match at home to Villa on 03 Mar. Next they are away at Fulham 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

Ipswich play 10 days after their match away at Brentford on 03 Mar. Next they are at home to Palace 7 days after this game. Premier League game 29 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Portman Road on Fri, 04 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 03 MarLiverpool vs VillaAnfield
  2. 03 MarBrentford vs IpswichGtech Community Stadium
  3. 13 Mar · this matchLiverpool vs IpswichAnfield
  4. 20 MarFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  5. 20 MarIpswich vs PalacePortman Road

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Liverpool and Ipswich

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FAQ · 10

Liverpool vs Ipswich Town FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Ipswich?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 88%, the draw 9% and Ipswich 3%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

Our projected score is 4-0, with 1-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 3-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Ipswich?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.14, draw 11.11, Ipswich 33.33. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Liverpool vs Ipswich Town kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 13 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Ipswich upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Ipswich?

3% to win plus 9% for the draw: 12% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Ipswich on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 1.14 or longer, or lay Ipswich Town at 33.33 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Ipswich Town fail to win; at 33.33, a ₹100 lay carries ₹3233 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Ipswich match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 88%, draw 9%, Ipswich 3%. Sabse sambhavit score 4-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Ipswich?

3.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 2% of the time.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Ipswich?

We rate both teams to score at 39%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 72%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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