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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

14%Fulham · fair 7.1419%Draw · fair 5.2667%Liverpool · fair 1.49
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 20 Mar 2027
Venue
Craven Cottage, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Fulham vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 67% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.49.
  • 2.31 expected goals to 0.97: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Craven Cottage.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Fulham

  • 14% to win plus 19% for the draw: 33% that Liverpool do not win.
  • The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them.
  • An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Liverpool?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 67%, draw 19%, Fulham 14%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-2, with goals expected (3.3 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
56%
Expected goals
0.97 – 2.31
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    3.3 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 63% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 19%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Liverpool

How to play it

How should you back or lay Fulham vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back67% chance

Liverpool1.49

Accept 1.49 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.49 pays ₹149 including your stake.

Lay14% chance

Fulham7.14

Lay only at 7.14 or shorter. At 7.14, a ₹100 lay puts ₹614 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    82% chance1.22

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    56% chance1.79

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Fulham 1-2 Liverpool

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Fulham

Fulham are likely to sit in a compact shape at Craven Cottage and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at Craven Cottage and keep Fulham penned in for long stretches.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Fulham score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Fulham vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool travel to Craven Cottage for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a strong lean. We project 0.97 xG for Fulham and 2.31 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 67% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Fulham. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Fulham and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Fulham play 7 days after their match away at Palace on 13 Mar. Next they are away at Chelsea 21 days after this game. Premier League game 30 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Ipswich on 13 Mar. Next they are at home to Newcastle 21 days after this game. Premier League game 30 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Anfield on Sat, 12 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 13 MarPalace vs FulhamSelhurst Park
  2. 13 MarLiverpool vs IpswichAnfield
  3. 20 Mar · this matchFulham vs LiverpoolCraven Cottage
  4. 10 AprChelsea vs FulhamStamford Bridge
  5. 10 AprLiverpool vs NewcastleAnfield

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Fulham and Liverpool

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FAQ · 10

Fulham vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Liverpool?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Fulham 14%, the draw 19% and Liverpool 67%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Fulham 7.14, draw 5.26, Liverpool 1.49. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Fulham vs Liverpool kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Fulham upset Liverpool in Fulham vs Liverpool?

14% to win plus 19% for the draw: 33% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Fulham vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 1.49 or longer, or lay Fulham at 7.14 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Fulham fail to win; at 7.14, a ₹100 lay carries ₹614 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Fulham 14%, draw 19%, Liverpool 67%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Fulham cause an upset in Fulham vs Liverpool?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Liverpool's attack. King Exchange gives Fulham a 14% chance.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Liverpool?

3.3 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 4% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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