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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, score and odds

35%Fulham · fair 2.8626%Draw · fair 3.8539%AFC Bournemouth · fair 2.56
Kick-off
19:35 IST · 14:05 UK
Date
Sun, 29 Nov 2026
Venue
Craven Cottage, London
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Fulham vs Bournemouth, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

AFC Bournemouth

  • 39% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.56.
  • 1.46 expected goals to 1.37: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Craven Cottage.

How they could upset it

Fulham

  • 35% to win plus 26% for the draw: 61% that Bournemouth do not win.
  • The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them.
  • An early goal would force Bournemouth to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Bournemouth 39%, draw 26%, Fulham 35%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 57% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
57%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.46
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. It closes the gap but does not erase Bournemouth's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (54% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Bournemouth rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Bournemouth

How to play it

How should you back or lay Fulham vs Bournemouth on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back39% chance

AFC Bournemouth2.56

Accept 2.56 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.56 pays ₹256 including your stake.

Lay35% chance

Fulham2.86

Lay only at 2.86 or shorter. At 2.86, a ₹100 lay puts ₹186 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Bournemouth or draw

    65% chance1.54

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Fulham win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    57% chance1.75

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 57% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Fulham 1-2 Bournemouth

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Fulham

Fulham are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Craven Cottage, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth are likely to sit in a compact shape on the road at Craven Cottage and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Bournemouth field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Fulham score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Fulham vs Bournemouth match preview

Fulham welcome AFC Bournemouth in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Bournemouth. The expected-goals split (1.37 for Fulham, 1.46 for Bournemouth) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 39% for Bournemouth. Fulham's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Fulham's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Fulham and Bournemouth

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Fulham play 8 days after their match away at Man City on 21 Nov. Next they are away at Spurs 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

Bournemouth play 8 days after their match at home to Forest on 21 Nov. Next they are at home to Brighton 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 12 of 38.

They meet again at Vitality Stadium on Sat, 30 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 21 NovMan City vs FulhamEtihad Stadium
  2. 21 NovBournemouth vs ForestVitality Stadium
  3. 29 Nov · this matchFulham vs BournemouthCraven Cottage
  4. 02 DecSpurs vs FulhamTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  5. 02 DecBournemouth vs BrightonVitality Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Fulham and Bournemouth

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FAQ · 10

Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?

King Exchange expects AFC Bournemouth to win. The goals model rates Fulham 35%, the draw 26% and Bournemouth 39%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

By our numbers: Fulham 2.86, draw 3.85, Bournemouth 2.56. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth kick off in India?

19:35 IST in India (UK date Sun, 29 Nov 2026, 14:05 UK time), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Fulham upset Bournemouth in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

35% to win plus 26% for the draw: 61% that Bournemouth do not win. The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them. An early goal would force Bournemouth to chase.

How should I trade Fulham vs Bournemouth on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back AFC Bournemouth at 2.56 or longer, or lay Fulham at 2.86 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Fulham fail to win; at 2.86, a ₹100 lay carries ₹186 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Bournemouth match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein AFC Bournemouth aage hain: Fulham 35%, draw 26%, Bournemouth 39%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Bournemouth?

UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Bournemouth?

We rate both teams to score at 57%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 54%.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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