King Exchange

FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Hull City Prediction, score and odds

76%Everton · fair 1.3216%Draw · fair 6.258%Hull City · fair 12.50
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 08 May 2027
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Everton vs Hull, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Everton

  • 76% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.32.
  • 2.47 expected goals to 0.66: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Hill Dickinson Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 8% to win plus 16% for the draw: 24% that Everton do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Hull?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Everton 76%, draw 16%, Hull 8%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 3-0, with goals expected (3.1 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 44% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
3-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
44%
Expected goals
2.47 – 0.66
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Everton are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Everton

  2. Expected goals

    3.1 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 60% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Everton rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Everton

How to play it

How should you back or lay Everton vs Hull on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back76% chance

Everton1.32

Accept 1.32 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.32 pays ₹132 including your stake.

Lay8% chance

Hull City12.50

Lay only at 12.50 or shorter. At 12.50, a ₹100 lay puts ₹1150 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Everton

    91% chance1.10

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    60% chance1.67

    3.1 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 3-0 Hull

    11% chance9.09

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away · promoted

Hull City

Fresh up from the Championship, Hull will prioritise staying solid on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Their best openings usually come from corners, free kicks and fast counters.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Everton field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Everton vs Hull match preview

Everton welcome Hull City in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Everton. The expected-goals split (2.47 for Everton, 0.66 for Hull) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 76% for Everton. Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Everton and Hull

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their match away at Fulham on 01 May. Next they are away at Chelsea 7 days after this game. Premier League game 35 of 38.

Hull play 7 days after their match at home to Bournemouth on 01 May. Next they are at home to Fulham 7 days after this game. Premier League game 35 of 38.

The two clubs already met at MKM Stadium on Sun, 11 Oct 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 01 MayFulham vs EvertonCraven Cottage
  2. 01 MayHull vs BournemouthMKM Stadium
  3. 08 May · this matchEverton vs HullHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 15 MayChelsea vs EvertonStamford Bridge
  5. 15 MayHull vs FulhamMKM Stadium

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10

Everton vs Hull City FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Hull?

King Exchange expects Everton to win. The goals model rates Everton 76%, the draw 16% and Hull 8%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Hull City?

Our projected score is 3-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Hull?

By our numbers: Everton 1.32, draw 6.25, Hull 12.50. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Everton vs Hull City kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 08 May 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Everton in Everton vs Hull?

8% to win plus 16% for the draw: 24% that Everton do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Everton vs Hull on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Everton at 1.32 or longer, or lay Hull City at 12.50 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 12.50, a ₹100 lay carries ₹1150 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Hull match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 76%, draw 16%, Hull 8%. Sabse sambhavit score 3-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Hull cause an upset in Everton vs Hull?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Everton's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 8% chance.

Where can I watch Everton vs Hull?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Hull?

We rate both teams to score at 44%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 60%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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