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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Everton vs Sunderland Prediction, score and odds

53%Everton · fair 1.8926%Draw · fair 3.8521%Sunderland · fair 4.76
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 26 Dec 2026
Venue
Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Everton vs Sunderland, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Everton

  • 53% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.89.
  • 1.62 expected goals to 0.94: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Hill Dickinson Stadium, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Sunderland

  • 21% to win plus 26% for the draw: 47% that Everton do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Everton to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Sunderland?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Everton 53%, draw 26%, Sunderland 21%: a slight lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.6 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 49% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
49%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.94
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Everton are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Everton

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.6 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (47% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Everton rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Everton

How to play it

How should you back or lay Everton vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back53% chance

Everton1.89

Accept 1.89 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.89 pays ₹189 including your stake.

Lay21% chance

Sunderland4.76

Lay only at 4.76 or shorter. At 4.76, a ₹100 lay puts ₹376 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Everton

    71% chance1.41

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    75% chance1.33

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Everton 2-1 Sunderland

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape at Hill Dickinson Stadium and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Everton field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Sunderland score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Everton vs Sunderland match preview

Sunderland travel to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a slight lean. We project 1.62 xG for Everton and 0.94 for Sunderland. Over thousands of simulated games, Everton come out on top in 53% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Sunderland. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Everton and Sunderland

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Everton play 7 days after their match away at Forest on 19 Dec. Next they are at home to Man City 3 days after this game, so expect some rotation. Premier League game 17 of 38.

Sunderland play 7 days after their match at home to Palace on 19 Dec. Next they are away at Man Utd 4 days after this game. Premier League game 17 of 38.

They meet again at Stadium of Light on Sat, 20 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 19 DecForest vs EvertonCity Ground
  2. 19 DecSunderland vs PalaceStadium of Light
  3. 26 Dec · this matchEverton vs SunderlandHill Dickinson Stadium
  4. 29 DecEverton vs Man CityHill Dickinson Stadium
  5. 30 DecMan Utd vs SunderlandOld Trafford

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Everton and Sunderland

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FAQ · 10

Everton vs Sunderland FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?

King Exchange expects Everton to win. The goals model rates Everton 53%, the draw 26% and Sunderland 21%, which we grade as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Everton vs Sunderland?

By our numbers: Everton 1.89, draw 3.85, Sunderland 4.76. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Everton vs Sunderland kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 26 Dec 2026, 15:00 UK time), at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Sunderland upset Everton in Everton vs Sunderland?

21% to win plus 26% for the draw: 47% that Everton do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Everton to chase.

How should I trade Everton vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Everton at 1.89 or longer, or lay Sunderland at 4.76 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Sunderland fail to win; at 4.76, a ₹100 lay carries ₹376 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Everton vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Everton aage hain: Everton 53%, draw 26%, Sunderland 21%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Where can I watch Everton vs Sunderland?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Can Sunderland cause an upset in Everton vs Sunderland?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Everton's attack. King Exchange gives Sunderland a 21% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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