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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Hull City vs Chelsea Prediction, score and odds

11%Hull City · fair 9.0916%Draw · fair 6.2573%Chelsea · fair 1.37
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 20 Mar 2027
Venue
MKM Stadium, Hull
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Hull vs Chelsea, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Chelsea

  • 73% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.37.
  • 2.59 expected goals to 0.92: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to MKM Stadium.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Hull City

  • 11% to win plus 16% for the draw: 27% that Chelsea do not win.
  • The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them.
  • Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Hull vs Chelsea?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Chelsea 73%, draw 16%, Hull 11%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 1-3, with goals expected (3.5 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-3
Half-time
0-1
Both score
56%
Expected goals
0.92 – 2.59
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Hull. It closes the gap but does not erase Chelsea's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    3.5 expected goals is above the league norm, and over 2.5 lands 68% of the time in our simulations.

    Edge: Goals

  3. Quality gap

    Chelsea rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 16%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Chelsea

How to play it

How should you back or lay Hull vs Chelsea on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back73% chance

Chelsea1.37

Accept 1.37 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.37 pays ₹137 including your stake.

Lay11% chance

Hull City9.09

Lay only at 9.09 or shorter. At 9.09, a ₹100 lay puts ₹809 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Chelsea

    87% chance1.15

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Hull win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    56% chance1.79

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Hull 1-3 Chelsea

    8% chance12.50

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Hull City

Fresh up from the Championship, Hull will prioritise staying solid at MKM Stadium. Their best openings usually come from corners, free kicks and fast counters.

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at MKM Stadium and keep Hull penned in for long stretches.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Chelsea field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Hull score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Hull vs Chelsea match preview

Hull City welcome Chelsea in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Chelsea. The expected-goals split (0.92 for Hull, 2.59 for Chelsea) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 73% for Chelsea. Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Hull's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Hull and Chelsea

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Hull play 7 days after their match away at Villa on 13 Mar. Next they are away at Man Utd 21 days after this game. Premier League game 30 of 38.

Chelsea play 7 days after their match at home to Arsenal on 13 Mar. Next they are at home to Fulham 21 days after this game. Premier League game 30 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Stamford Bridge on Sat, 12 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 13 MarVilla vs HullVilla Park
  2. 13 MarChelsea vs ArsenalStamford Bridge
  3. 20 Mar · this matchHull vs ChelseaMKM Stadium
  4. 10 AprMan Utd vs HullOld Trafford
  5. 10 AprChelsea vs FulhamStamford Bridge

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Hull and Chelsea

Back or lay in-play

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FAQ · 10

Hull City vs Chelsea FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Hull vs Chelsea?

King Exchange expects Chelsea to win. The goals model rates Hull 11%, the draw 16% and Chelsea 73%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Chelsea?

Our projected score is 1-3, with 0-1 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 0-2, at 10%.

What are the fair odds for Hull vs Chelsea?

By our numbers: Hull 9.09, draw 6.25, Chelsea 1.37. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Hull City vs Chelsea kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 20 Mar 2027, 15:00 UK time), at MKM Stadium in Hull. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Hull upset Chelsea in Hull vs Chelsea?

11% to win plus 16% for the draw: 27% that Chelsea do not win. The home crowd at MKM Stadium is behind them. Set pieces, the go-to weapon of a newly promoted side.

How should I trade Hull vs Chelsea on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Chelsea at 1.37 or longer, or lay Hull City at 9.09 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Hull City fail to win; at 9.09, a ₹100 lay carries ₹809 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Hull vs Chelsea match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Chelsea aage hain: Hull 11%, draw 16%, Chelsea 73%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-3 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Can Hull cause an upset in Hull vs Chelsea?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Chelsea's attack. King Exchange gives Hull a 11% chance.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Hull vs Chelsea?

3.5 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 5, and a 0-0 shows up 3% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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