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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Prediction, score and odds

45%Nottingham Forest · fair 2.2227%Draw · fair 3.7028%Sunderland · fair 3.57
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 24 Apr 2027
Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Forest vs Sunderland, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Nottingham Forest

  • 45% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.22.
  • 1.53 expected goals to 1.14: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at City Ground, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Sunderland

  • 28% to win plus 27% for the draw: 55% that Forest do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Forest to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Forest vs Sunderland?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Forest 45%, draw 27%, Sunderland 28%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 53% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
53%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.14
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Forest are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Forest

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (50% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Draw risk

    A 27% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Forest vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back45% chance

Nottingham Forest2.22

Accept 2.22 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.22 pays ₹222 including your stake.

Lay28% chance

Sunderland3.57

Lay only at 3.57 or shorter. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay puts ₹257 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Forest

    62% chance1.61

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Sunderland win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    72% chance1.39

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Forest 2-1 Sunderland

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Nottingham Forest

Forest are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at City Ground, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Forest field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Sunderland score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Forest vs Sunderland match preview

Sunderland travel to City Ground for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a coin flip. We project 1.53 xG for Forest and 1.14 for Sunderland. Over thousands of simulated games, Forest come out on top in 45% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Sunderland. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Forest and Sunderland

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Forest play 7 days after their match at home to Liverpool on 17 Apr. Next they are away at Brighton 7 days after this game. Premier League game 33 of 38.

Sunderland play 7 days after their match away at Fulham on 17 Apr. Next they are at home to Newcastle 7 days after this game. Premier League game 33 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Stadium of Light on Sat, 12 Dec 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 17 AprForest vs LiverpoolCity Ground
  2. 17 AprFulham vs SunderlandCraven Cottage
  3. 24 Apr · this matchForest vs SunderlandCity Ground
  4. 01 MayBrighton vs ForestAmerican Express Stadium
  5. 01 MaySunderland vs NewcastleStadium of Light

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Forest and Sunderland

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FAQ · 10

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Forest vs Sunderland?

King Exchange expects Nottingham Forest to win. The goals model rates Forest 45%, the draw 27% and Sunderland 28%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Forest vs Sunderland?

By our numbers: Forest 2.22, draw 3.70, Sunderland 3.57. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 24 Apr 2027, 15:00 UK time), at City Ground in Nottingham. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Sunderland upset Forest in Forest vs Sunderland?

28% to win plus 27% for the draw: 55% that Forest do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Forest to chase.

How should I trade Forest vs Sunderland on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Nottingham Forest at 2.22 or longer, or lay Sunderland at 3.57 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Sunderland fail to win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay carries ₹257 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Forest vs Sunderland match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Nottingham Forest aage hain: Forest 45%, draw 27%, Sunderland 28%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Forest vs Sunderland?

2.7 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 8% of the time.

Where can I watch Forest vs Sunderland?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Can Sunderland cause an upset in Forest vs Sunderland?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Forest's attack. King Exchange gives Sunderland a 28% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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