CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · game 3 of 8
Australia vs England 3rd ODI prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Wed, 18 Nov 2026
- Venue
- Bellerive Oval, Hobart
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs · flat, run-heavy pitch
The case
Who wins AUS vs ENG, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
Australia
- Rated 70% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.43.
- A projected 22-run cushion in the first-innings total (354 to 332).
- Home conditions: Australia know a flat, run-heavy surface like this better than anyone.
- Josh Inglis, their likeliest match-winner (steady hand in a chase).
How they could upset it
England
- 30% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
- Liam Livingstone can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
By the numbers
How many runs will Australia and England score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Bellerive Oval.
- Australia rated 70%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.43 or longer.
- A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
- Australia have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- Australia
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- flat, run-heavy
- Suits
- Batters
- Powerplay (0-10)
- AUS60-72ENG57-67
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- AUS175-195ENG168-188
- Death Overs (41-50)
- AUS94-112ENG83-101
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.
Edge: Even
Toss call
Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.
Edge: Even
Series pressure
A win puts Australia in charge with 5 games to go. A defeat hands England the momentum.
Edge: Australia
How to play it
How should you back or lay AUS vs ENG on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back70% chance
Australia1.43
Accept 1.43 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.43 pays ₹143 including your stake.
Lay30% chance
England3.33
Lay only at 3.33 or shorter. At 3.33, a ₹100 lay puts ₹233 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back Australia
70% chance1.43
The headline call. Worth backing only at 1.43 or longer.
ValueBalanced
Australia first-innings total
Over 337.5
56% chance1.79
A 337.5 line leaves roughly 16 runs of headroom against our 354 projection.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Josh Inglis (Australia)
23% chance4.35
Steady hand in a chase. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing Australia vs England?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
Australia
Josh Inglis92
Steady hand in a chase
Cameron Green94
Balances the XI
England
Liam Livingstone93
Balances the XI
Harry Brook86
Fast starter at the top
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Josh Inglis misses out
Australia would drop by about five points, turning this into a strong lean.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain cuts the overs
A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.
The long read
Australia vs England match preview
Game 3 of 8 is where England tour of Australia, 2026 begins to take shape. The King Exchange model leans to Australia at 70%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Bellerive Oval has behaved in recent seasons. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 30%, England are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.
On the toss: Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.
“At 30%, England are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 3rd ODI
Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.
The 3rd ODI is staged at Bellerive Oval in Hobart on Wed, 18 Nov 2026, game 3 of 8 in the series.
The 2nd ODI comes 3 days before this game at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide, so the squads travel to Hobart in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.
Next on the calendar: the 1st T20I, 3 days after this game at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.
- 15 Nov2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
- 18 Nov · this match3rd ODI: Australia vs EnglandBellerive Oval
- 21 Nov1st T20I: Australia vs EnglandMelbourne Cricket Ground
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
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FAQ · 10
AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the Australia vs England 3rd ODI?
King Exchange expects Australia to win, rating them 70% against 30% for England, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at Bellerive Oval should play.
What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
A 70% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.43 for Australia and 3.33 for England. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI start in India?
The series window places it on Wed, 18 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Bellerive Oval, Hobart, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Bellerive Oval in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can England win the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives England a 30% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or Australia change their best XI.
Why could England upset Australia in the AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI?
30% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Liam Livingstone can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
How should I trade the Australia vs England 3rd ODI on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back Australia at 1.43 or longer, or lay England at 3.33 or shorter. A lay wins whenever England fail to win; at 3.33, a ₹100 lay carries ₹233 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Australia vs England 3rd ODI match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 70%, jabki England ka 30%. Match Wed, 18 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
AUS vs ENG 3rd ODI ke liye Hobart ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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