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CricketEngland tour of Australia, 2026 · game 2 of 8

Australia vs England 2nd ODI prediction

72%Australia · fair 1.3928%England · fair 3.57
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Sun, 15 Nov 2026
Venue
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Format
ODI · 50 overs · flat, run-heavy pitch
By King Exchange Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins AUS vs ENG, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Australia

  • Rated 72% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.39.
  • A projected 29-run cushion in the first-innings total (361 to 332).
  • Home conditions: Australia know a flat, run-heavy surface like this better than anyone.
  • Mitchell Starc, their likeliest match-winner (trusted at the end of the innings).

How they could upset it

England

  • 28% to win, which is roughly one game in 4.
  • One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  • Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
  • Chris Woakes can win a game single-handed (trusted at the end of the innings).

By the numbers

How many runs will Australia and England score?

Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Adelaide Oval.

  • Australia rated 72%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.39 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
  • Australia have home conditions in their favour.
KingExch pick
Australia
Format
ODI · 50 overs
Pitch
flat, run-heavy
Suits
Batters
Powerplay (0-10)
Middle Overs (11-40)
Death Overs (41-50)
Australia EnglandInnings: AUS 338-384 · ENG 310-354

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.

    Edge: Even

  2. Batting edge

    The projection hands Australia a 29-run cushion, the single biggest reason the model sides with them.

    Edge: Australia

  3. Series pressure

    A win puts Australia in charge with 6 games to go. A defeat hands England the momentum.

    Edge: Australia

How to play it

How should you back or lay AUS vs ENG on King Exchange?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back72% chance

Australia1.39

Accept 1.39 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.39 pays ₹139 including your stake.

Lay28% chance

England3.57

Lay only at 3.57 or shorter. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay puts ₹257 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back Australia

    72% chance1.39

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.39, the value is gone.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Australia first-innings total

    Over 346.5

    61% chance1.64

    We project about 361, comfortably clear of 346.5, so a slow start can still land it.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Mitchell Starc (Australia)

    18% chance5.56

    Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

Match-winners

Who can swing Australia vs England?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

Australia

  • Mitchell Starc91

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Travis Head84

    Fast starter at the top

England

  • Chris Woakes92

    Trusted at the end of the innings

  • Adil Rashid92

    Takes wickets through the middle

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If Mitchell Starc misses out

    Australia would drop by about five points, turning this into a strong lean.

  2. If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If rain cuts the overs

    A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.

The long read

Australia vs England match preview

With 6 games of England tour of Australia, 2026 still to play, match 2 can tilt the series. The King Exchange model leans to Australia at 72%, driven mostly by squad depth and how Adelaide Oval has behaved in recent seasons. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. England's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 28% for them look too low.

On the toss: Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available.

“A strong start would make our 28% for them look too low.”

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: 2nd ODI

Rest days, travel and what comes next in England tour of Australia, 2026.

The 2nd ODI is staged at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide on Sun, 15 Nov 2026, game 2 of 8 in the series.

The 1st ODI comes 3 days before this game at Perth Stadium in Perth, so the squads travel to Adelaide in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.

Next on the calendar: the 3rd ODI, 3 days after this game at Bellerive Oval in Hobart.

More from Adelaide Oval on the King Exchange schedule: 2nd Test: Australia vs New Zealand (19 Dec) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 12 Nov1st ODI: Australia vs EnglandPerth Stadium
  2. 15 Nov · this match2nd ODI: Australia vs EnglandAdelaide Oval
  3. 18 Nov3rd ODI: Australia vs EnglandBellerive Oval

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10

AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win the Australia vs England 2nd ODI?

King Exchange expects Australia to win, rating them 72% against 28% for England, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, run-heavy surface at Adelaide Oval should play.

What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI?

A 72% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.39 for Australia and 3.57 for England. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI start in India?

The series window places it on Sun, 15 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Adelaide Oval in the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI?

We expect a flat, run-heavy surface that should favour the batters. A batting deck: consistent bounce, good carry and little sideways movement. Death bowling and change-ups will set how high the scores go.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI?

Whatever the captain picks, both sides should cash in on the runs available. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can England win the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives England a 28% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or Australia change their best XI.

Why could England upset Australia in the AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI?

28% to win, which is roughly one game in 4. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Chris Woakes can win a game single-handed (trusted at the end of the innings).

How should I trade the Australia vs England 2nd ODI on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Australia at 1.39 or longer, or lay England at 3.57 or shorter. A lay wins whenever England fail to win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay carries ₹257 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Australia vs England 2nd ODI match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke model ke mutabik Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 72%, jabki England ka 28%. Match Sun, 15 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

AUS vs ENG 2nd ODI ke liye Adelaide ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, run-heavy rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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