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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Everton Prediction, score and odds

64%Crystal Palace · fair 1.5622%Draw · fair 4.5514%Everton · fair 7.14
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 10 Apr 2027
Venue
Selhurst Park, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Palace vs Everton, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Crystal Palace

  • 64% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.56.
  • 1.98 expected goals to 0.79: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Selhurst Park, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Everton

  • 14% to win plus 22% for the draw: 36% that Palace do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Palace to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Everton?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Palace 64%, draw 22%, Everton 14%: a strong lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 47% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
47%
Expected goals
1.98 – 0.79
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Palace are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Palace

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (52% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Palace rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 22%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Palace

How to play it

How should you back or lay Palace vs Everton on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back64% chance

Crystal Palace1.56

Accept 1.56 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.56 pays ₹156 including your stake.

Lay14% chance

Everton7.14

Lay only at 7.14 or shorter. At 7.14, a ₹100 lay puts ₹614 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Palace

    82% chance1.22

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Everton win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    52% chance1.92

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Palace 2-1 Everton

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Crystal Palace

Palace are likely to sit in a compact shape at Selhurst Park and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Everton

Everton are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession on the road at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Palace field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Everton score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Palace vs Everton match preview

Crystal Palace welcome Everton in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Palace. The expected-goals split (1.98 for Palace, 0.79 for Everton) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 64% for Palace. Everton's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Everton's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Palace and Everton

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 21 days after their match away at Ipswich on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are away at Man City 7 days after this game. Premier League game 31 of 38.

Everton play 21 days after their match at home to Spurs on 20 Mar, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are at home to Bournemouth 7 days after this game. Premier League game 31 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 22 Aug 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 20 MarIpswich vs PalacePortman Road
  2. 20 MarEverton vs SpursHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 10 Apr · this matchPalace vs EvertonSelhurst Park
  4. 17 AprMan City vs PalaceEtihad Stadium
  5. 17 AprEverton vs BournemouthHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Palace and Everton

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FAQ · 10

Crystal Palace vs Everton FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Everton?

King Exchange expects Crystal Palace to win. The goals model rates Palace 64%, the draw 22% and Everton 14%, which we grade as a strong lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Everton?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Everton?

By our numbers: Palace 1.56, draw 4.55, Everton 7.14. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Everton kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 10 Apr 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Palace in Palace vs Everton?

14% to win plus 22% for the draw: 36% that Palace do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Palace to chase.

How should I trade Palace vs Everton on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.56 or longer, or lay Everton at 7.14 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 7.14, a ₹100 lay carries ₹614 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 64%, draw 22%, Everton 14%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Palace vs Everton?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Everton?

We rate both teams to score at 47%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 52%.

Can Everton cause an upset in Palace vs Everton?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Palace's attack. King Exchange gives Everton a 14% chance.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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