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FootballPremier League · London derby

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, score and odds

53%Crystal Palace · fair 1.8928%Draw · fair 3.5719%Tottenham Hotspur · fair 5.26
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 23 Jan 2027
Venue
Selhurst Park, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Palace vs Spurs, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Crystal Palace

  • 53% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.89.
  • 1.50 expected goals to 0.79: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Selhurst Park, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Tottenham Hotspur

  • 19% to win plus 28% for the draw: 47% that Palace do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Spurs?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Palace 53%, draw 28%, Spurs 19%: a slight lean.
  • Projected score 2-0, with a tight, low-scoring game likely (2.3 xG).
  • It is the London derby, so expect more bookings and fewer clear-cut chances.
Projected score
2-0
Half-time
0-0
Both score
42%
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.79
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Palace are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Palace

  2. Expected goals

    At just 2.3 expected goals, the under is the natural lean, with over 2.5 landing only 40% of the time.

    Edge: Few goals

  3. Derby intensity

    The London derby brings added edge, more fouls and a projected 4.5-5.5 cards. Derbies regularly finish tighter than the table suggests.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Palace vs Spurs on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back53% chance

Crystal Palace1.89

Accept 1.89 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.89 pays ₹189 including your stake.

Lay19% chance

Tottenham Hotspur5.26

Lay only at 5.26 or shorter. At 5.26, a ₹100 lay puts ₹426 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Palace

    73% chance1.37

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Spurs win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    80% chance1.25

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Palace 2-0 Spurs

    11% chance9.09

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at Selhurst Park by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Palace field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Spurs score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Palace vs Spurs match preview

Tottenham Hotspur travel to Selhurst Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a slight lean. As the London derby, form matters less than usual, so we have pulled the two sides closer together. We project 1.50 xG for Palace and 0.79 for Spurs. Over thousands of simulated games, Palace come out on top in 53% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Spurs. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Palace and Spurs

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 7 days after their match away at Liverpool on 16 Jan. Next they are away at Hull 7 days after this game. Premier League game 22 of 38.

Spurs play 7 days after their match at home to Leeds on 16 Jan. Next they are at home to Sunderland 7 days after this game. Premier League game 22 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 16 JanLiverpool vs PalaceAnfield
  2. 16 JanSpurs vs LeedsTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  3. 23 Jan · this matchPalace vs SpursSelhurst Park
  4. 30 JanHull vs PalaceMKM Stadium
  5. 30 JanSpurs vs SunderlandTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Palace and Spurs

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FAQ · 10

Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Spurs?

King Exchange expects Crystal Palace to win. The goals model rates Palace 53%, the draw 28% and Spurs 19%, which we grade as a slight lean.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Our projected score is 2-0, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-0, at 14%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Spurs?

By our numbers: Palace 1.89, draw 3.57, Spurs 5.26. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 23 Jan 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Spurs upset Palace in Palace vs Spurs?

19% to win plus 28% for the draw: 47% that Palace do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. It is the London derby, where form often counts for little.

How should I trade Palace vs Spurs on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Crystal Palace at 1.89 or longer, or lay Tottenham Hotspur at 5.26 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Tottenham Hotspur fail to win; at 5.26, a ₹100 lay carries ₹426 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Spurs match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Crystal Palace aage hain: Palace 53%, draw 28%, Spurs 19%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-0 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Spurs?

2.3 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 11% of the time.

Will both teams score in Palace vs Spurs?

We rate both teams to score at 42%, so the lean is no. Over 2.5 goals sits at 40%.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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