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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Ipswich Town vs Everton Prediction, score and odds

37%Ipswich Town · fair 2.7027%Draw · fair 3.7036%Everton · fair 2.78
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sun, 30 May 2027
Venue
Portman Road, Ipswich
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Ipswich vs Everton, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Ipswich Town

  • 37% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.70.
  • 1.36 expected goals to 1.35: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Portman Road, worth about three tenths of a goal.

How they could upset it

Everton

  • 36% to win plus 27% for the draw: 63% that Ipswich do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Ipswich to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Everton?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Ipswich 37%, draw 27%, Everton 36%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 55% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
55%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.35
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Ipswich are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Ipswich

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (51% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Draw risk

    A 27% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Ipswich vs Everton on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back37% chance

Ipswich Town2.70

Accept 2.70 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.70 pays ₹270 including your stake.

Lay36% chance

Everton2.78

Lay only at 2.78 or shorter. At 2.78, a ₹100 lay puts ₹178 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Ipswich or draw

    64% chance1.56

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Everton win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    55% chance1.82

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 55% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Ipswich 2-1 Everton

    8% chance12.50

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home · promoted

Ipswich Town

Fresh up from the Championship, Ipswich will prioritise staying solid at Portman Road. Their best openings usually come from corners, free kicks and fast counters.

Away

Everton

Everton are likely to sit in a compact shape on the road at Portman Road and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Ipswich field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Everton score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Ipswich vs Everton match preview

Everton travel to Portman Road for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a coin flip. We project 1.36 xG for Ipswich and 1.35 for Everton. Over thousands of simulated games, Ipswich come out on top in 37% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Everton. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Ipswich and Everton

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Ipswich play 7 days after their match away at Forest on 23 May. This is their final league game of the season. Premier League game 38 of 38.

Everton play 7 days after their match at home to Arsenal on 23 May. This is their final league game of the season. Premier League game 38 of 38.

The two clubs already met at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sat, 19 Sept 2026, so this is the return fixture.

  1. 23 MayForest vs IpswichCity Ground
  2. 23 MayEverton vs ArsenalHill Dickinson Stadium
  3. 30 May · this matchIpswich vs EvertonPortman Road

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Ipswich and Everton

Back or lay in-play

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FAQ · 10

Ipswich Town vs Everton FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Ipswich vs Everton?

King Exchange expects Ipswich Town to win. The goals model rates Ipswich 37%, the draw 27% and Everton 36%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Everton?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Ipswich vs Everton?

By our numbers: Ipswich 2.70, draw 3.70, Everton 2.78. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Ipswich Town vs Everton kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sun, 30 May 2027, 15:00 UK time), at Portman Road in Ipswich. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Everton upset Ipswich in Ipswich vs Everton?

36% to win plus 27% for the draw: 63% that Ipswich do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Ipswich to chase.

How should I trade Ipswich vs Everton on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Ipswich Town at 2.70 or longer, or lay Everton at 2.78 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Everton fail to win; at 2.78, a ₹100 lay carries ₹178 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Ipswich vs Everton match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Ipswich Town aage hain: Ipswich 37%, draw 27%, Everton 36%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Where can I watch Ipswich vs Everton?

Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Everton?

We rate both teams to score at 55%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 51%.

How many goals are expected in Ipswich vs Everton?

2.7 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

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