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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Fulham vs Newcastle United Prediction, score and odds

28%Fulham · fair 3.5726%Draw · fair 3.8546%Newcastle United · fair 2.17
Kick-off
20:30 IST · 15:00 UK
Date
Sat, 07 Nov 2026
Venue
Craven Cottage, London
UK broadcast
Not yet picked for UK TV
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Fulham vs Newcastle, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Newcastle United

  • 46% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.17.
  • 1.61 expected goals to 1.20: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Craven Cottage.

How they could upset it

Fulham

  • 28% to win plus 26% for the draw: 54% that Newcastle do not win.
  • The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them.
  • An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Newcastle?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Newcastle 46%, draw 26%, Fulham 28%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 56% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
56%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.61
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Fulham. It closes the gap but does not erase Newcastle's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (53% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Newcastle rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 26%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Newcastle

How to play it

How should you back or lay Fulham vs Newcastle on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back46% chance

Newcastle United2.17

Accept 2.17 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.17 pays ₹217 including your stake.

Lay28% chance

Fulham3.57

Lay only at 3.57 or shorter. At 3.57, a ₹100 lay puts ₹257 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Newcastle

    62% chance1.61

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Fulham win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Both teams to score

    Yes

    56% chance1.79

    Each side projects above one expected goal, and both teams score 56% of the time in our simulations.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Fulham 1-2 Newcastle

    9% chance11.11

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Fulham

Fulham are likely to sit in a compact shape at Craven Cottage and wait for a single opening rather than chase control.

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle are organised and tough to break down, and they tend to earn results on the road at Craven Cottage by controlling the middle of the pitch.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Newcastle field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Fulham score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Fulham vs Newcastle match preview

Newcastle United travel to Craven Cottage for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a coin flip. We project 1.20 xG for Fulham and 1.61 for Newcastle. Over thousands of simulated games, Newcastle come out on top in 46% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Fulham. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Fulham and Newcastle

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Fulham play 7 days after their match away at Villa on 31 Oct. Next they are away at Man City 14 days after this game. Premier League game 10 of 38.

Newcastle play 5 days after their match at home to Everton on 02 Nov. Next they are at home to Arsenal 14 days after this game. Premier League game 10 of 38.

They meet again at St James' Park on Sat, 16 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings.

  1. 31 OctVilla vs FulhamVilla Park
  2. 02 NovNewcastle vs EvertonSt James' Park
  3. 07 Nov · this matchFulham vs NewcastleCraven Cottage
  4. 21 NovMan City vs FulhamEtihad Stadium
  5. 21 NovNewcastle vs ArsenalSt James' Park

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Fulham and Newcastle

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FAQ · 10

Fulham vs Newcastle United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle?

King Exchange expects Newcastle United to win. The goals model rates Fulham 28%, the draw 26% and Newcastle 46%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 12%.

What are the fair odds for Fulham vs Newcastle?

By our numbers: Fulham 3.57, draw 3.85, Newcastle 2.17. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Fulham vs Newcastle United kick off in India?

20:30 IST in India (UK date Sat, 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 UK time), at Craven Cottage in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Fulham upset Newcastle in Fulham vs Newcastle?

28% to win plus 26% for the draw: 54% that Newcastle do not win. The home crowd at Craven Cottage is behind them. An early goal would force Newcastle to chase.

How should I trade Fulham vs Newcastle on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Newcastle United at 2.17 or longer, or lay Fulham at 3.57 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Fulham fail to win; at 3.57, a ₹100 lay carries ₹257 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Fulham vs Newcastle match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Newcastle United aage hain: Fulham 28%, draw 26%, Newcastle 46%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Can Fulham cause an upset in Fulham vs Newcastle?

Yes, with an early goal, a disciplined back line and an off day for Newcastle's attack. King Exchange gives Fulham a 28% chance.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Newcastle?

2.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 7% of the time.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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