FootballPremier League 2026/27
Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction, score and odds
- Kick-off
- 22:00 IST · 16:30 UK
- Date
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool
- UK broadcast
- Sky Sports
The case
Who wins Liverpool vs Arsenal, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
Liverpool
- 40% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.50.
- 1.36 expected goals to 1.17: they should create the better chances.
- Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
- A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.
How they could upset it
Arsenal
- 32% to win plus 28% for the draw: 60% that Liverpool do not win.
- Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
- An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.
Goals model
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.
- Liverpool 40%, draw 28%, Arsenal 32%: a coin flip.
- Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.5 xG).
- Both teams to score: 51% on the King Exchange model.
- Projected score
- 2-1
- Half-time
- 0-0
- Both score
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.36 – 1.17
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.
Home advantage
Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.
Edge: Liverpool
Expected goals
With 2.5 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (46% for the over).
Edge: Even
Draw risk
A 28% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.
Edge: Draw
How to play it
How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Arsenal on King Exchange?
Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back40% chance
Liverpool2.50
Accept 2.50 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.50 pays ₹250 including your stake.
Lay32% chance
Arsenal3.13
Lay only at 3.13 or shorter. At 3.13, a ₹100 lay puts ₹213 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Double chance
Liverpool or draw
68% chance1.47
Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Arsenal win loses.
ValueBalanced
Total goals
Under 3.5
75% chance1.33
A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.
Long shotHighest reward
Correct score
Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal
9% chance11.11
The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.
Team shape
How will the two teams set up?
Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.
At home
Liverpool
Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Arsenal will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.
Away
Arsenal
Arsenal carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents on the road at Anfield, so Liverpool will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and match events that would move our numbers.
If Liverpool field a weakened XI
Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.
If Arsenal score first
The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.
If a red card arrives in the first hour
Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.
The long read
Liverpool vs Arsenal match preview
Liverpool welcome Arsenal in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (1.36 for Liverpool, 1.17 for Arsenal) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 40% for Liverpool. Arsenal's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.
“Arsenal's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Arsenal
Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.
Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Brighton on 25 Oct. Next they are away at Palace 7 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.
Arsenal play 8 days after their match at home to Everton on 24 Oct. Next they are at home to Hull 6 days after this game. Premier League game 9 of 38.
They meet again at Emirates Stadium on Sat, 06 Feb 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.
- 24 OctArsenal vs EvertonEmirates Stadium
- 25 OctLiverpool vs BrightonAnfield
- 01 Nov · this matchLiverpool vs ArsenalAnfield
- 07 NovArsenal vs HullEmirates Stadium
- 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
Keep reading
More KingExch predictions for Liverpool and Arsenal
Back or lay in-play
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FAQ · 10
Liverpool vs Arsenal FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 40%, the draw 28% and Arsenal 32%, which we grade as a coin flip.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.
What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Arsenal?
By our numbers: Liverpool 2.50, draw 3.57, Arsenal 3.13. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.
What time does Liverpool vs Arsenal kick off in India?
22:00 IST in India (UK date Sun, 01 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.
Why could Arsenal upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
32% to win plus 28% for the draw: 60% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.
How should I trade Liverpool vs Arsenal on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 2.50 or longer, or lay Arsenal at 3.13 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Arsenal fail to win; at 3.13, a ₹100 lay carries ₹213 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
Liverpool vs Arsenal match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 40%, draw 28%, Arsenal 32%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?
In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
We rate both teams to score at 51%, so the lean is yes. Over 2.5 goals sits at 46%.
How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Arsenal?
2.5 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 9% of the time.
Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- Premier League fixturesOfficial fixture list, kick-off times and results.Premier League
- Laws of the GameThe official laws of football, including stoppage time and match duration.IFAB
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