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FootballPremier League 2026/27

Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction, score and odds

61%Liverpool · fair 1.6423%Draw · fair 4.3516%Manchester United · fair 6.25
Kick-off
22:00 IST · 16:30 UK
Date
Sun, 22 Nov 2026
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Liverpool vs Man Utd, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 61% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 1.64.
  • 1.94 expected goals to 0.89: they should create the better chances.
  • Home advantage at Anfield, worth about three tenths of a goal.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Manchester United

  • 16% to win plus 23% for the draw: 39% that Liverpool do not win.
  • Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind.
  • An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 61%, draw 23%, Man Utd 16%: a clear lean.
  • Projected score 2-1, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.8 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 51% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
2-1
Half-time
0-0
Both score
51%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.89
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Liverpool are both the stronger team and at home, which the model values at a little over a fifth of a goal. The two edges stack.

    Edge: Liverpool

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.8 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (54% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Quality gap

    Liverpool rate clearly stronger and the draw is only 23%. If they score first, the game should follow.

    Edge: Liverpool

How to play it

How should you back or lay Liverpool vs Man Utd on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back61% chance

Liverpool1.64

Accept 1.64 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.64 pays ₹164 including your stake.

Lay16% chance

Manchester United6.25

Lay only at 6.25 or shorter. At 6.25, a ₹100 lay puts ₹525 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Draw no bet

    Back Liverpool

    79% chance1.27

    Your stake comes back if it finishes level, so only a Man Utd win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Over 2.5

    54% chance1.85

    2.8 expected goals clears the 2.5 line more often than not.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Liverpool 2-1 Man Utd

    10% chance10.00

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Liverpool

Liverpool carry a title-level squad. They suffocate opponents at Anfield, so Man Utd will need a disciplined low block to stay in it.

Away

Manchester United

Man Utd are well coached, with enough cutting edge to punish errors on the road at Anfield. Their game is built on winning the midfield.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Man Utd score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Liverpool vs Man Utd match preview

Liverpool welcome Manchester United in front of a home crowd, and the King Exchange numbers tilt toward Liverpool. The expected-goals split (1.94 for Liverpool, 0.89 for Man Utd) is the strongest signal, and it drives our 61% for Liverpool. Man Utd's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.

“Man Utd's best hope is to keep it level going into the final 30 minutes, when a draw becomes very live.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Liverpool and Man Utd

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Liverpool play 14 days after their match away at Palace on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are away at Everton 7 days after this game. Premier League game 11 of 38.

Man Utd play 14 days after their match at home to Villa on 08 Nov, with an international break in between, so sharpness could be lacking. Next they are at home to Brentford 6 days after this game. Premier League game 11 of 38.

They meet again at Old Trafford on Sat, 23 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 08 NovPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
  2. 08 NovMan Utd vs VillaOld Trafford
  3. 22 Nov · this matchLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield
  4. 28 NovMan Utd vs BrentfordOld Trafford
  5. 29 NovEverton vs LiverpoolHill Dickinson Stadium

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Liverpool and Man Utd

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FAQ · 10

Liverpool vs Manchester United FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Liverpool vs Man Utd?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Liverpool 61%, the draw 23% and Man Utd 16%, which we grade as a clear lean.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Manchester United?

Our projected score is 2-1, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 2-0, at 11%.

What are the fair odds for Liverpool vs Man Utd?

By our numbers: Liverpool 1.64, draw 4.35, Man Utd 6.25. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Liverpool vs Manchester United kick off in India?

22:00 IST in India (UK date Sun, 22 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK time), at Anfield in Liverpool. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Man Utd upset Liverpool in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

16% to win plus 23% for the draw: 39% that Liverpool do not win. Counter-attacks: a favourite chasing the game leaves space behind. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Liverpool vs Man Utd on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 1.64 or longer, or lay Manchester United at 6.25 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Manchester United fail to win; at 6.25, a ₹100 lay carries ₹525 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Liverpool vs Man Utd match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Liverpool 61%, draw 23%, Man Utd 16%. Sabse sambhavit score 2-1 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

How many goals are expected in Liverpool vs Man Utd?

2.8 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 6% of the time.

Where can I watch Liverpool vs Man Utd?

UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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Sources and official information

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