King Exchange
Get ID now

FootballPremier League 2026/27

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction, score and odds

35%Crystal Palace · fair 2.8628%Draw · fair 3.5737%Liverpool · fair 2.70
Kick-off
19:30 IST · 14:00 UK
Date
Sun, 08 Nov 2026
Venue
Selhurst Park, London
UK broadcast
Sky Sports
By King Exchange Football Desk, Premier League analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins Palace vs Liverpool, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Liverpool

  • 37% to win on the King Exchange goals model, a fair back price of 2.70.
  • 1.35 expected goals to 1.30: they should create the better chances.
  • Enough extra quality to overcome a trip to Selhurst Park.
  • A title-level squad that can change the game from the bench.

How they could upset it

Crystal Palace

  • 35% to win plus 28% for the draw: 63% that Liverpool do not win.
  • The home crowd at Selhurst Park is behind them.
  • An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

Goals model

How many goals will there be in Palace vs Liverpool?

The King Exchange goals model, run thousands of times.

  • Liverpool 37%, draw 28%, Palace 35%: a coin flip.
  • Projected score 1-2, with the goals line on a knife edge (2.7 xG).
  • Both teams to score: 54% on the King Exchange model.
Projected score
1-2
Half-time
0-0
Both score
54%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.35
Chance of each goal total
012345+

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

Home advantage, expected goals and the factor carrying the most weight here.

  1. Home advantage

    Home support is worth about a fifth of a goal to Palace. It closes the gap but does not erase Liverpool's extra quality.

    Edge: Even

  2. Expected goals

    With 2.7 expected goals, the 2.5 line is near 50/50 (49% for the over).

    Edge: Even

  3. Draw risk

    A 28% draw chance is high by Premier League standards, which is why our anchor bet protects against the draw instead of backing a straight win.

    Edge: Draw

How to play it

How should you back or lay Palace vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

Fair prices for the pick and the outsider, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back37% chance

Liverpool2.70

Accept 2.70 or longer. A ₹100 back at 2.70 pays ₹270 including your stake.

Lay35% chance

Crystal Palace2.86

Lay only at 2.86 or shorter. At 2.86, a ₹100 lay puts ₹186 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Double chance

    Liverpool or draw

    65% chance1.54

    Covers two of the three outcomes. Only a Palace win loses.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Total goals

    Under 3.5

    73% chance1.37

    A tight contest is the likeliest outcome, and four or more goals would be unusual.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Correct score

    Palace 1-2 Liverpool

    8% chance12.50

    The model's likeliest scoreline. Correct-score bets pay big but rarely land, so keep the stake light.

Team shape

How will the two teams set up?

Official line-ups are announced roughly an hour before kick-off.

At home

Crystal Palace

Palace are a pragmatic mid-table team: sturdy out of possession at Selhurst Park, but short of the creativity to dictate a game.

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool are set up to control the ball. They should own most of the possession on the road at Selhurst Park and keep Palace penned in for long stretches.

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and match events that would move our numbers.

  1. If Liverpool field a weakened XI

    Rotation or a missing key player would take several points off their win chance. Line-ups drop an hour before kick-off.

  2. If Palace score first

    The favourite must chase, and both the draw and the upset become far more likely.

  3. If a red card arrives in the first hour

    Playing with ten men rewrites the expected-goals picture, whichever team it hits.

The long read

Palace vs Liverpool match preview

Liverpool travel to Selhurst Park for a 2026/27 Premier League fixture that King Exchange grades as a coin flip. We project 1.30 xG for Palace and 1.35 for Liverpool. Over thousands of simulated games, Liverpool come out on top in 37% of them. An early goal would transform the game for Palace. Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.

“Sides chasing a result leave space, and that is where upsets happen.”

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: Palace and Liverpool

Rest days and the next game for both clubs, taken from the official Premier League fixture list.

Palace play 8 days after their match away at Spurs on 31 Oct. Next they are away at Coventry 13 days after this game. Premier League game 10 of 38.

Liverpool play 7 days after their match at home to Arsenal on 01 Nov. Next they are at home to Man Utd 14 days after this game. Premier League game 10 of 38.

They meet again at Anfield on Sat, 16 Jan 2027, making this the first of their two league meetings. Shown in the UK on Sky Sports.

  1. 31 OctSpurs vs PalaceTottenham Hotspur Stadium
  2. 01 NovLiverpool vs ArsenalAnfield
  3. 08 Nov · this matchPalace vs LiverpoolSelhurst Park
  4. 21 NovCoventry vs PalaceCoventry Building Society Arena
  5. 22 NovLiverpool vs Man UtdAnfield

Keep reading

More KingExch predictions for Palace and Liverpool

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KingExch ID.

One King Exchange ID covers cricket, football and tennis, with round-the-clock WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you play.

Get your ID on WhatsAppFull match schedule

FAQ · 10

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win Palace vs Liverpool?

King Exchange expects Liverpool to win. The goals model rates Palace 35%, the draw 28% and Liverpool 37%, which we grade as a coin flip.

What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?

Our projected score is 1-2, with 0-0 at half-time. The most frequent exact score across our simulations is 1-1, at 13%.

What are the fair odds for Palace vs Liverpool?

By our numbers: Palace 2.86, draw 3.57, Liverpool 2.70. Any back price shorter than that offers no value on the King Exchange model.

What time does Crystal Palace vs Liverpool kick off in India?

19:30 IST in India (UK date Sun, 08 Nov 2026, 14:00 UK time), at Selhurst Park in London. Kick-offs can be moved for TV, so recheck nearer the day.

Why could Palace upset Liverpool in Palace vs Liverpool?

35% to win plus 28% for the draw: 63% that Liverpool do not win. The home crowd at Selhurst Park is behind them. An early goal would force Liverpool to chase.

How should I trade Palace vs Liverpool on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Liverpool at 2.70 or longer, or lay Crystal Palace at 2.86 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Crystal Palace fail to win; at 2.86, a ₹100 lay carries ₹186 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Palace vs Liverpool match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke goals model mein Liverpool aage hain: Palace 35%, draw 28%, Liverpool 37%. Sabse sambhavit score 1-2 hai. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

How many goals are expected in Palace vs Liverpool?

2.7 expected goals in all. The likeliest goal count is 2, and a 0-0 shows up 8% of the time.

Where can I watch Palace vs Liverpool?

UK viewers can watch on Sky Sports. Indian broadcast rights change from season to season, so check the official Premier League listings closer to the day.

Is betting on the Premier League legal in India?

In India, online betting is governed by both central and state law, and the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 restricts online real-money gaming. Check the rules that apply in your state before you play. This is general information rather than legal advice, and King Exchange is for adults aged 18 and over only.

Dates and kick-offs follow the official Premier League fixture list and can change for TV or cup fixtures. The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.