CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · game 6 of 12
New Zealand vs India 1st ODI prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026
- Venue
- Eden Park, Auckland
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs · balanced, dry pitch
The case
Who wins NZ vs IND, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
India
- Rated 55% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.82.
- A projected 8-run cushion in the first-innings total (340 to 332).
- A balanced surface, where the stronger all-round XI usually comes through.
- Hardik Pandya, their likeliest match-winner (balances the xi).
How they could upset it
New Zealand
- 45% to win, which is close to an even chance.
- New Zealand are at home, an edge models often underrate.
- Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog.
- Daryl Mitchell can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
By the numbers
How many runs will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Eden Park.
- India rated 55%, a slight lean. Back them only at 1.82 or longer.
- A balanced pitch, with India projected to post the higher total.
- New Zealand have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- India
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Suits
- Balanced
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ52-62IND56-66
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ169-189IND174-194
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ87-105IND87-103
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.
Edge: Even
Even batting
The two batting orders rate almost the same (8 runs apart), which leaves the bowling and the toss to settle it.
Edge: Even
Toss call
The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.
Edge: Even
How to play it
How should you back or lay NZ vs IND on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back55% chance
India1.82
Accept 1.82 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.82 pays ₹182 including your stake.
Lay45% chance
New Zealand2.22
Lay only at 2.22 or shorter. At 2.22, a ₹100 lay puts ₹122 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back India
55% chance1.82
Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.82, the value is gone.
ValueBalanced
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 316.5
57% chance1.75
We project about 332, comfortably clear of 316.5, so a slow start can still land it.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Hardik Pandya (India)
20% chance5.00
Balances the XI. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
New Zealand
Daryl Mitchell95
Balances the XI
Finn Allen94
Fast starter at the top
India
Hardik Pandya97
Balances the XI
Jasprit Bumrah94
Trusted at the end of the innings
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Hardik Pandya misses out
India would drop by about five points, turning this into a coin flip.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain cuts the overs
A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.
The long read
New Zealand vs India match preview
With 6 games of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to play, match 6 can tilt the series. King Exchange rates India as the better-equipped side for a balanced, dry ODI surface, at 55%. New Zealand are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 45%, New Zealand are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.
On the toss: The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.
“At 45%, New Zealand are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 1st ODI
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 1st ODI is staged at Eden Park in Auckland on Mon, 09 Nov 2026, game 6 of 12 in the series.
The 5th T20I comes 4 days before this game at Seddon Park in Hamilton, so the squads travel to Auckland in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.
Next on the calendar: the 2nd ODI, 3 days after this game at Sky Stadium in Wellington.
More from Eden Park on the King Exchange schedule: 4th T20I: New Zealand vs India (02 Nov) (1 fixture in total).
- 05 Nov5th T20I: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
- 09 Nov · this match1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaEden Park
- 12 Nov2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
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FAQ · 10
NZ vs IND 1st ODI FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the New Zealand vs India 1st ODI?
King Exchange expects India to win, rating them 55% against 45% for New Zealand, which is a slight lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Eden Park should play.
What are the fair odds for India in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
A 55% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.82 for India and 2.22 for New Zealand. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs IND 1st ODI start in India?
The series window places it on Mon, 09 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Eden Park, Auckland, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Eden Park in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can New Zealand win the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives New Zealand a 45% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.
Why could New Zealand upset India in the NZ vs IND 1st ODI?
45% to win, which is close to an even chance. New Zealand are at home, an edge models often underrate. Rain or a shortened game adds randomness, and randomness helps the underdog. Daryl Mitchell can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
How should I trade the New Zealand vs India 1st ODI on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back India at 1.82 or longer, or lay New Zealand at 2.22 or shorter. A lay wins whenever New Zealand fail to win; at 2.22, a ₹100 lay carries ₹122 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs India 1st ODI match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 55%, jabki New Zealand ka 45%. Match Mon, 09 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
NZ vs IND 1st ODI ke liye Auckland ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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