CricketIndia tour of New Zealand, 2026 · game 7 of 12
New Zealand vs India 2nd ODI prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026
- Venue
- Sky Stadium, Wellington
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs · grassy, seam-friendly pitch
The case
Who wins NZ vs IND, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
New Zealand
- Rated 57% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.75.
- Rated higher overall by King Exchange, even though the projected totals lean the other way (325 to 326).
- Home conditions: New Zealand know a grassy, seam-friendly surface like this better than anyone.
- Tim Southee, their likeliest match-winner (trusted at the end of the innings).
How they could upset it
India
- 43% to win, which is close to an even chance.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Winning the toss on this pitch would hand them a few extra points.
- Ravindra Jadeja can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
By the numbers
How many runs will New Zealand and India score?
Projected runs in each phase of the first innings at Sky Stadium.
- New Zealand rated 57%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.75 or longer.
- A pitch that suits seamers, with India projected to post the higher total.
- New Zealand have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- New Zealand
- Format
- ODI · 50 overs
- Pitch
- grassy, seam-friendly
- Suits
- Seamers
- Powerplay (0-10)
- NZ45-57IND49-59
- Middle Overs (11-40)
- NZ167-189IND168-188
- Death Overs (41-50)
- NZ88-104IND86-102
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
Seam bowlers who hit a good length will draw early edges. Top orders that leave well outside off stump stand the best chance. New Zealand play on surfaces like this week in, week out.
Edge: New Zealand
Toss call
Field first. The smart play is to go after the top order while the surface is fresh.
Edge: Toss winner
Series pressure
A win puts New Zealand in charge with 5 games to go. A defeat hands India the momentum.
Edge: New Zealand
How to play it
How should you back or lay NZ vs IND on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back57% chance
New Zealand1.75
Accept 1.75 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.75 pays ₹175 including your stake.
Lay43% chance
India2.33
Lay only at 2.33 or shorter. At 2.33, a ₹100 lay puts ₹133 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back New Zealand
57% chance1.75
Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.75, the value is gone.
ValueBalanced
New Zealand first-innings total
Over 308.5
57% chance1.75
We project about 325, comfortably clear of 308.5, so a slow start can still land it.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Tim Southee (New Zealand)
24% chance4.17
Trusted at the end of the innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing New Zealand vs India?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
New Zealand
Tim Southee88
Trusted at the end of the innings
Finn Allen94
Fast starter at the top
India
Ravindra Jadeja86
Balances the XI
Yashasvi Jaiswal87
Fast starter at the top
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Tim Southee misses out
New Zealand would drop by about five points, turning this into a slight lean.
If India win the toss
On a pitch where the toss counts, that alone shifts a couple of points to India.
If rain cuts the overs
A shorter game adds randomness, which works in the underdog's favour.
The long read
New Zealand vs India match preview
With 5 games of India tour of New Zealand, 2026 still to play, match 7 can tilt the series. New Zealand rate 57% because both their batting and their attack fit these grassy, seam-friendly conditions a little better. New Zealand are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. India's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 43% for them look too low.
On the toss: Field first. The smart play is to go after the top order while the surface is fresh.
“A strong start would make our 43% for them look too low.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 2nd ODI
Rest days, travel and what comes next in India tour of New Zealand, 2026.
The 2nd ODI is staged at Sky Stadium in Wellington on Thu, 12 Nov 2026, game 7 of 12 in the series.
The 1st ODI comes 3 days before this game at Eden Park in Auckland, so the squads travel to Wellington in between. That is enough recovery for both sides to field their first-choice XIs.
Next on the calendar: the 3rd ODI, 4 days after this game at Seddon Park in Hamilton.
More from Sky Stadium on the King Exchange schedule: 3rd T20I: New Zealand vs India (29 Oct), 2nd ODI: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka (20 Jan) (2 fixtures in total).
- 09 Nov1st ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaEden Park
- 12 Nov · this match2nd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSky Stadium
- 16 Nov3rd ODI: New Zealand vs IndiaSeddon Park
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
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FAQ · 10
NZ vs IND 2nd ODI FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the New Zealand vs India 2nd ODI?
King Exchange expects New Zealand to win, rating them 57% against 43% for India, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a grassy, seam-friendly surface at Sky Stadium should play.
What are the fair odds for New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI?
A 57% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.75 for New Zealand and 2.33 for India. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI start in India?
The series window places it on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Sky Stadium, Wellington, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Sky Stadium in the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI?
We expect a grassy, seam-friendly surface that should favour the quicks. Seam bowlers who hit a good length will draw early edges. Top orders that leave well outside off stump stand the best chance.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI?
Field first. The smart play is to go after the top order while the surface is fresh. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can India win the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives India a 43% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or New Zealand change their best XI.
Why could India upset New Zealand in the NZ vs IND 2nd ODI?
43% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Winning the toss on this pitch would hand them a few extra points. Ravindra Jadeja can win a game single-handed (balances the xi).
How should I trade the New Zealand vs India 2nd ODI on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back New Zealand at 1.75 or longer, or lay India at 2.33 or shorter. A lay wins whenever India fail to win; at 2.33, a ₹100 lay carries ₹133 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
New Zealand vs India 2nd ODI match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik New Zealand ka palda bhaari hai: 57%, jabki India ka 43%. Match Thu, 12 Nov 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
NZ vs IND 2nd ODI ke liye Wellington ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch grassy, seam-friendly rahegi, yaani tez gendbaazon ko shuruaat mein swing aur seam milega. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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