King Exchange
Get ID now

CricketNew Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 · game 2 of 4

Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test prediction

65%Australia · fair 1.5435%New Zealand · fair 2.86
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Sat, 19 Dec 2026
Venue
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Format
Test match · flat, batting-friendly pitch
By King Exchange Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins AUS vs NZ, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

Australia

  • Rated 65% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.54.
  • A projected 13-run cushion in the day-one total (289 to 276).
  • Home conditions: Australia know a flat, batting-friendly surface like this better than anyone.
  • Travis Head, their likeliest match-winner (built for long innings).

How they could upset it

New Zealand

  • 35% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
  • One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  • Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
  • Tim Southee can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

By the numbers

How many runs will Australia and New Zealand score?

Projected session-by-session runs on day one at Adelaide Oval.

  • Australia rated 65%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.54 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits batters, with Australia projected to post the higher total.
  • Australia have home conditions in their favour.
KingExch pick
Australia
Format
Test match
Pitch
flat, batting-friendly
Suits
Batters
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
Australia New ZealandDay one: AUS 265-313 · NZ 252-300

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    Batters can trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need sharp plans, because anything overpitched or wide is going to the boundary. Both teams will lean on the batters, so the deeper attack counts.

    Edge: Even

  2. Batting edge

    The projection hands Australia a 13-run cushion, the single biggest reason the model sides with them.

    Edge: Australia

  3. Series pressure

    A win puts Australia in charge with 2 games to go. A defeat hands New Zealand the momentum.

    Edge: Australia

How to play it

How should you back or lay AUS vs NZ on King Exchange?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back65% chance

Australia1.54

Accept 1.54 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.54 pays ₹154 including your stake.

Lay35% chance

New Zealand2.86

Lay only at 2.86 or shorter. At 2.86, a ₹100 lay puts ₹186 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back Australia

    65% chance1.54

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.54, the value is gone.

  2. ValueBalanced

    Australia day-one total

    Over 273.5

    61% chance1.64

    We project about 289, comfortably clear of 273.5, so a slow start can still land it.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Travis Head (Australia)

    20% chance5.00

    Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

Match-winners

Who can swing Australia vs New Zealand?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

Australia

  • Travis Head90

    Built for long innings

  • Alex Carey95

    Valuable runs at number seven

New Zealand

  • Tim Southee96

    Hits the deck hard

  • Glenn Phillips97

    Turns fifties into hundreds

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If Travis Head misses out

    Australia would drop by about five points, turning this into a clear lean.

  2. If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss

    More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.

  3. If rain costs a day or more

    A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.

The long read

Australia vs New Zealand match preview

With 2 games of New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27 still to play, match 2 can tilt the series. King Exchange rates Australia as the better-equipped side for a flat, batting-friendly Test surface, at 65%. Australia are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 35%, New Zealand are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.

On the toss: Batting or fielding first offers no real edge while the surface stays this good.

“At 35%, New Zealand are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.”

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: 2nd Test

Rest days, travel and what comes next in New Zealand tour of Australia, 2026-27.

The 2nd Test is staged at Adelaide Oval in Adelaide on Sat, 19 Dec 2026, game 2 of 4 in the series.

The 1st Test comes 10 days before this game at Perth Stadium in Perth, so the squads travel to Adelaide in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Next on the calendar: the 3rd Test, 10 days after this game at Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne.

More from Adelaide Oval on the King Exchange schedule: 2nd ODI: Australia vs England (15 Nov) (1 fixture in total).

  1. 09 Dec1st Test: Australia vs New ZealandPerth Stadium
  2. 19 Dec · this match2nd Test: Australia vs New ZealandAdelaide Oval
  3. 29 Dec3rd Test: Australia vs New ZealandMelbourne Cricket Ground

Keep reading

More KingExch cricket predictions

Back or lay in-play

Trade this match on your KingExch ID.

One King Exchange ID covers cricket, football and tennis, with round-the-clock WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you play.

Get your ID on WhatsAppFull match schedule

FAQ · 10

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win the Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test?

King Exchange expects Australia to win, rating them 65% against 35% for New Zealand, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a flat, batting-friendly surface at Adelaide Oval should play.

What are the fair odds for Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

A 65% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.54 for Australia and 2.86 for New Zealand. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test start in India?

The series window places it on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time to be confirmed) at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for Adelaide Oval in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

We expect a flat, batting-friendly surface that should favour the batters. Batters can trust the bounce from ball one. Bowlers need sharp plans, because anything overpitched or wide is going to the boundary.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

Batting or fielding first offers no real edge while the surface stays this good. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can New Zealand win the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives New Zealand a 35% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or Australia change their best XI.

Why could New Zealand upset Australia in the AUS vs NZ 2nd Test?

35% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Tim Southee can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).

How should I trade the Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back Australia at 1.54 or longer, or lay New Zealand at 2.86 or shorter. A lay wins whenever New Zealand fail to win; at 2.86, a ₹100 lay carries ₹186 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

Australia vs New Zealand 2nd Test match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke model ke mutabik Australia ka palda bhaari hai: 65%, jabki New Zealand ka 35%. Match Sat, 19 Dec 2026 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

AUS vs NZ 2nd Test ke liye Adelaide ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch flat, batting-friendly rahegi, yaani batting ke liye badhiya pitch hai, bada score ban sakta hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

Check it at the source

Sources and official information

External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.