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CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · game 2 of 5

India vs Australia 2nd Test prediction

64%India · fair 1.5636%Australia · fair 2.78
Start
Start time to be confirmed
Date
Sun, 31 Jan 2027
Venue
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai
Format
Test match · dry, turning pitch
By King Exchange Cricket Desk, match analysisUpdated

The case

Who wins IND vs AUS, and why?

The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.

Why they should win

India

  • Rated 64% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.56.
  • A projected 6-run cushion in the day-one total (294 to 288).
  • Home conditions: India know a dry, turning surface like this better than anyone.
  • Rohit Sharma, their likeliest match-winner (built for long innings).

How they could upset it

Australia

  • 36% to win, which is roughly one game in 3.
  • One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
  • Winning the toss on this pitch would hand them a few extra points.
  • Mitchell Marsh can win a game single-handed (gives the side a fifth bowler).

By the numbers

How many runs will India and Australia score?

Projected session-by-session runs on day one at MA Chidambaram Stadium.

  • India rated 64%, a strong lean. Back them only at 1.56 or longer.
  • A pitch that suits spinners, with India projected to post the higher total.
  • India have home conditions in their favour.
KingExch pick
India
Format
Test match
Pitch
dry, turning
Suits
Spinners
Session 1
Session 2
Session 3
India AustraliaDay one: IND 269-319 · AUS 265-311

Deciding factors

Which factors will settle this match?

The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.

  1. Pitch read

    The ball should turn sharply and now and then keep low. Occupying the crease is worth more than scoring fast, and batters who sweep and use their feet will prosper. India play on surfaces like this week in, week out.

    Edge: India

  2. Even batting

    The two batting orders rate almost the same (6 runs apart), which leaves the bowling and the toss to settle it.

    Edge: Even

  3. Series pressure

    A win puts India in charge with 3 games to go. A defeat hands Australia the momentum.

    Edge: India

How to play it

How should you back or lay IND vs AUS on King Exchange?

Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.

Back64% chance

India1.56

Accept 1.56 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.56 pays ₹156 including your stake.

Lay36% chance

Australia2.78

Lay only at 2.78 or shorter. At 2.78, a ₹100 lay puts ₹178 at risk to win ₹100.

Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right

  1. AnchorLowest risk

    Match odds

    Back India

    64% chance1.56

    Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.56, the value is gone.

  2. ValueBalanced

    India day-one total

    Over 277.5

    57% chance1.75

    We project about 294, comfortably clear of 277.5, so a slow start can still land it.

  3. Long shotHighest reward

    Top team batter

    Rohit Sharma (India)

    20% chance5.00

    Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.

Match-winners

Who can swing India vs Australia?

Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.

India

  • Rohit Sharma80

    Built for long innings

  • Axar Patel86

    Can bowl all day

Australia

  • Mitchell Marsh82

    Gives the side a fifth bowler

  • Adam Zampa94

    Can bowl all day

What could change

What would change the King Exchange prediction?

Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.

  1. If Rohit Sharma misses out

    India would drop by about five points, turning this into a clear lean.

  2. If Australia win the toss

    On a pitch where the toss counts, that alone shifts a couple of points to Australia.

  3. If rain costs a day or more

    A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.

The long read

India vs Australia match preview

With 3 games of Australia tour of India, 2027 still to play, match 2 can tilt the series. The King Exchange model leans to India at 64%, driven mostly by squad depth and how MA Chidambaram Stadium has behaved in recent seasons. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 36% for them look too low.

On the toss: Bat first after winning the toss. Chasing on a worn, turning surface is the toughest task in the game.

“A strong start would make our 36% for them look too low.”

Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.

Fixture timeline

Fixture timeline: 2nd Test

Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.

The 2nd Test is staged at MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chennai on Sun, 31 Jan 2027, game 2 of 5 in the series.

The 1st Test comes 10 days before this game at Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium in Nagpur, so the squads travel to Chennai in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.

Next on the calendar: the 3rd Test, 11 days after this game at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati.

  1. 21 Jan1st Test: India vs AustraliaVidarbha Cricket Association Stadium
  2. 31 Jan · this match2nd Test: India vs AustraliaMA Chidambaram Stadium
  3. 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium

Keep reading

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FAQ · 10

IND vs AUS 2nd Test FAQs

Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.

Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp

Who will win the India vs Australia 2nd Test?

King Exchange expects India to win, rating them 64% against 36% for Australia, which is a strong lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a dry, turning surface at MA Chidambaram Stadium should play.

What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 2nd Test?

A 64% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.56 for India and 2.78 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.

What time does the IND vs AUS 2nd Test start in India?

The series window places it on Sun, 31 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.

What is the pitch report for MA Chidambaram Stadium in the IND vs AUS 2nd Test?

We expect a dry, turning surface that should favour the spinners. The ball should turn sharply and now and then keep low. Occupying the crease is worth more than scoring fast, and batters who sweep and use their feet will prosper.

Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs AUS 2nd Test?

Bat first after winning the toss. Chasing on a worn, turning surface is the toughest task in the game. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.

Can Australia win the IND vs AUS 2nd Test?

Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives Australia a 36% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.

Why could Australia upset India in the IND vs AUS 2nd Test?

36% to win, which is roughly one game in 3. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Winning the toss on this pitch would hand them a few extra points. Mitchell Marsh can win a game single-handed (gives the side a fifth bowler).

How should I trade the India vs Australia 2nd Test on King Exchange?

By King Exchange numbers, back India at 1.56 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.78 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.78, a ₹100 lay carries ₹178 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.

India vs Australia 2nd Test match kaun jeetega?

King Exchange ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 64%, jabki Australia ka 36%. Match Sun, 31 Jan 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.

IND vs AUS 2nd Test ke liye Chennai ki pitch report kya hai?

Humara andaaza hai ki pitch dry, turning rahegi, yaani spinners ko achha turn milne ki umeed hai. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.

The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.

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