CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · game 4 of 5
India vs Australia 4th Test prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Sun, 21 Feb 2027
- Venue
- JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi
- Format
- Test match · balanced, dry pitch
The case
Who wins IND vs AUS, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
India
- Rated 58% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.72.
- A projected 2-run cushion in the day-one total (275 to 273).
- Home conditions: India know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
- Rohit Sharma, their likeliest match-winner (built for long innings).
How they could upset it
Australia
- 42% to win, which is close to an even chance.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
- Steve Smith can win a game single-handed (built for long innings).
By the numbers
How many runs will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one at JSCA International Stadium Complex.
- India rated 58%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.72 or longer.
- A balanced pitch, with India projected to post the higher total.
- India have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Suits
- Balanced
- Session 1
- IND85-99AUS85-101
- Session 2
- IND90-108AUS91-107
- Session 3
- IND77-91AUS74-88
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.
Edge: Even
Toss call
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this pitch.
Edge: Even
Series pressure
A win puts India in charge with 1 game to go. A defeat hands Australia the momentum.
Edge: India
How to play it
How should you back or lay IND vs AUS on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back58% chance
India1.72
Accept 1.72 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.72 pays ₹172 including your stake.
Lay42% chance
Australia2.38
Lay only at 2.38 or shorter. At 2.38, a ₹100 lay puts ₹138 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back India
58% chance1.72
Our most likely outcome. Once the back price drops below 1.72, the value is gone.
ValueBalanced
India day-one total
Over 260.5
61% chance1.64
We project about 275, comfortably clear of 260.5, so a slow start can still land it.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Rohit Sharma (India)
20% chance5.00
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
India
Rohit Sharma82
Built for long innings
Kuldeep Yadav83
Can bowl all day
Australia
Steve Smith88
Built for long innings
Pat Cummins83
Hits the deck hard
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Rohit Sharma misses out
India would drop by about five points, turning this into a slight lean.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain costs a day or more
A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.
The long read
India vs Australia match preview
With 1 game of Australia tour of India, 2027 still to play, match 4 can tilt the series. The King Exchange model leans to India at 58%, driven mostly by squad depth and how JSCA International Stadium Complex has behaved in recent seasons. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. Australia's best route to an upset is the first hour. A strong start would make our 42% for them look too low.
On the toss: Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this pitch.
“A strong start would make our 42% for them look too low.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 4th Test
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.
The 4th Test is staged at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi on Sun, 21 Feb 2027, game 4 of 5 in the series.
The 3rd Test comes 10 days before this game at Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati, so the squads travel to Ranchi in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.
Next on the calendar: the 5th Test, 10 days after this game at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad.
More from JSCA International Stadium Complex on the King Exchange schedule: 2nd T20I: India vs West Indies (08 Oct) (1 fixture in total).
- 11 Feb3rd Test: India vs AustraliaBarsapara Cricket Stadium
- 21 Feb · this match4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
- 03 Mar5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
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FAQ · 10
IND vs AUS 4th Test FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the India vs Australia 4th Test?
King Exchange expects India to win, rating them 58% against 42% for Australia, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at JSCA International Stadium Complex should play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
A 58% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.72 for India and 2.38 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the IND vs AUS 4th Test start in India?
The series window places it on Sun, 21 Feb 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for JSCA International Stadium Complex in the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. Nothing unusual in the pitch. Bowlers who hold a tight length will be rewarded, as will batters who stay patient early.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
Neither choice at the toss looks decisive on this pitch. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can Australia win the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives Australia a 42% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.
Why could Australia upset India in the IND vs AUS 4th Test?
42% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Steve Smith can win a game single-handed (built for long innings).
How should I trade the India vs Australia 4th Test on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back India at 1.72 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.38 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.38, a ₹100 lay carries ₹138 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Australia 4th Test match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 58%, jabki Australia ka 42%. Match Sun, 21 Feb 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
IND vs AUS 4th Test ke liye Ranchi ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
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