CricketAustralia tour of India, 2027 · game 5 of 5
India vs Australia 5th Test prediction
- Start
- Start time to be confirmed
- Date
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027
- Venue
- Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
- Format
- Test match · balanced, dry pitch
The case
Who wins IND vs AUS, and why?
The argument for the favourite, and the route to an upset.
Why they should win
India
- Rated 59% by King Exchange, which is a fair back price of 1.69.
- A projected 12-run cushion in the day-one total (280 to 268).
- Home conditions: India know a balanced, dry surface like this better than anyone.
- Rohit Sharma, their likeliest match-winner (built for long innings).
How they could upset it
Australia
- 41% to win, which is close to an even chance.
- One big session can flip the momentum of a series.
- Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure.
- Mitchell Starc can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).
By the numbers
How many runs will India and Australia score?
Projected session-by-session runs on day one at Narendra Modi Stadium.
- India rated 59%, a clear lean. Back them only at 1.69 or longer.
- A balanced pitch, with India projected to post the higher total.
- India have home conditions in their favour.
- KingExch pick
- India
- Format
- Test match
- Pitch
- balanced, dry
- Suits
- Balanced
- Session 1
- IND84-98AUS85-101
- Session 2
- IND95-111AUS87-105
- Session 3
- IND78-94AUS71-87
Deciding factors
Which factors will settle this match?
The pitch first, then the two factors carrying the most weight in this fixture.
Pitch read
A fair surface with something in it for both sides, so session scores should sit close to the format norm. Neither attack gets a special edge from it.
Edge: Even
Series pressure
It is the final game, so India cannot coast and Australia have nothing left to protect.
Edge: India
Toss call
The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.
Edge: Even
How to play it
How should you back or lay IND vs AUS on King Exchange?
Fair prices for both teams, then three selections from the safest to the boldest.
Back59% chance
India1.69
Accept 1.69 or longer. A ₹100 back at 1.69 pays ₹169 including your stake.
Lay41% chance
Australia2.44
Lay only at 2.44 or shorter. At 2.44, a ₹100 lay puts ₹144 at risk to win ₹100.
Three ways to play it · risk rises left to right
AnchorLowest risk
Match odds
Back India
59% chance1.69
The headline call. Worth backing only at 1.69 or longer.
ValueBalanced
India day-one total
Over 265.5
60% chance1.67
A 265.5 line leaves roughly 14 runs of headroom against our 280 projection.
Long shotHighest reward
Top team batter
Rohit Sharma (India)
23% chance4.35
Built for long innings. A long-odds market, so keep the stake small.
Match-winners
Who can swing India vs Australia?
Impact scores estimate how likely each player is to settle the result. XIs are named at the toss.
India
Rohit Sharma83
Built for long innings
Jasprit Bumrah82
Hits the deck hard
Australia
Mitchell Starc91
Hits the deck hard
Adam Zampa85
Can bowl all day
What could change
What would change the King Exchange prediction?
Team news and conditions that would move our numbers before the first ball.
If Rohit Sharma misses out
India would drop by about five points, turning this into a slight lean.
If the surface looks drier or greener than expected at the toss
More help for the bowlers would narrow the gap between the two batting orders.
If rain costs a day or more
A draw becomes the likeliest result, and our win call loses most of its value.
The long read
India vs Australia match preview
Australia tour of India, 2027 ends here: expect full-strength XIs with nobody rested for later. India rate 59% because both their batting and their attack fit these balanced, dry conditions a little better. India are on home soil, and the model adds a few percentage points for that. At 41%, Australia are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.
On the toss: The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more.
“At 41%, Australia are far from out of it, but they need their best players to deliver on the same day.”
Series window, not a confirmed XI date. Confirm the date on match day.
Fixture timeline
Fixture timeline: 5th Test
Rest days, travel and what comes next in Australia tour of India, 2027.
The 5th Test is staged at Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad on Wed, 03 Mar 2027, game 5 of 5 in the series.
The 4th Test comes 10 days before this game at JSCA International Stadium Complex in Ranchi, so the squads travel to Ahmedabad in between. A long gap resets both dressing rooms, so momentum from the last game counts for less than usual.
Nothing follows in this series, so both teams should name their strongest available XI.
More from Narendra Modi Stadium on the King Exchange schedule: 3rd ODI: India vs Sri Lanka (19 Dec) (1 fixture in total).
- 21 Feb4th Test: India vs AustraliaJSCA International Stadium Complex
- 03 Mar · this match5th Test: India vs AustraliaNarendra Modi Stadium
Keep reading
More KingExch cricket predictions
Back or lay in-play
Trade this match on your KingExch ID.
One King Exchange ID covers cricket, football and tennis, with round-the-clock WhatsApp support in English and Hindi. Adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you play.
FAQ · 10
IND vs AUS 5th Test FAQs
Quick, straight answers to what cricket, football and tennis fans ask us most.
Need a quick answer? Message King Exchange support on WhatsApp
Who will win the India vs Australia 5th Test?
King Exchange expects India to win, rating them 59% against 41% for Australia, which is a clear lean. The pick blends team ratings, home advantage and how a balanced, dry surface at Narendra Modi Stadium should play.
What are the fair odds for India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
A 59% rating converts to fair decimal odds of 1.69 for India and 2.44 for Australia. If the exchange back price is shorter than that, the bet offers no value by our numbers.
What time does the IND vs AUS 5th Test start in India?
The series window places it on Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time to be confirmed) at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad, but the board has not yet confirmed the date or start time. King Exchange updates this page as soon as it does.
What is the pitch report for Narendra Modi Stadium in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
We expect a balanced, dry surface that should favour neither side. A fair surface with something in it for both sides, so session scores should sit close to the format norm.
Should the captain bat or bowl first in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
The coin counts for little here. Planning and execution count for more. The toss takes place about 30 minutes before the start, when both XIs are named.
Can Australia win the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
Yes, though they need early wickets or a match-winning knock. King Exchange gives Australia a 41% chance, and that climbs if they win a toss that matters or India change their best XI.
Why could Australia upset India in the IND vs AUS 5th Test?
41% to win, which is close to an even chance. One big session can flip the momentum of a series. Lost time to weather pushes a Test towards a draw, which suits the side under pressure. Mitchell Starc can win a game single-handed (hits the deck hard).
How should I trade the India vs Australia 5th Test on King Exchange?
By King Exchange numbers, back India at 1.69 or longer, or lay Australia at 2.44 or shorter. A lay wins whenever Australia fail to win; at 2.44, a ₹100 lay carries ₹144 of liability. Prices move before and during play, so check the live back and lay odds first.
India vs Australia 5th Test match kaun jeetega?
King Exchange ke model ke mutabik India ka palda bhaari hai: 59%, jabki Australia ka 41%. Match Wed, 03 Mar 2027 (start time to be confirmed) shuru hoga. Yeh ek anumaan hai, guarantee nahi.
IND vs AUS 5th Test ke liye Ahmedabad ki pitch report kya hai?
Humara andaaza hai ki pitch balanced, dry rahegi, yaani bat aur ball dono ko barabar madad milegi. Toss match se lagbhag aadha ghanta pehle hoga.
The win chances, projected scores and picks here come from the King Exchange model, which weighs team strength, venue history and conditions. They are estimates, never guarantees, and every bet settles at the live exchange price you accept. For adults 18+ only. Fix a budget before you bet and gamble responsibly.
Check it at the source
Sources and official information
- ICCICC tournament fixtures, results, rankings and team news.International Cricket Council
- ICC playing conditionsOfficial match rules for Tests, ODIs and T20Is, including rain-affected matches.International Cricket Council
- ESPNcricinfoScorecards, venue records and player statistics.ESPN
External sites open in a new tab. We aren't affiliated with them.